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⚽ FINAL DAY: Spain vs Argentina — the full market read →World Cup 2026 final day — the market reads.
Kickoff 3pm ET at MetLife. Spain +115 in 90 minutes, -150 to lift the trophy; Argentina +285. Polymarket: 59¢ Spain on a record $4.3B market. The full final-day breakdown.
Read → Analysis · Updated July 19, 2026Final morning: the 90-minute line firms to Spain +115 / +200 / +285 while Polymarket holds 59¢. Plus the third-place verdict: England 6-4 France — the +275 underdog wins a 10-goal thriller.
Read → ⚽ Analysis · Updated July 17, 2026Both semifinals are in the books: Spain 2-0 France, Argentina 2-1 England. Updated odds, implied probabilities, and what a 13-game winning streak buys you on Sunday.
Read → ⚽ Match Analysis · Result: Argentina 2-1 EnglandThe holders were +205 underdogs on a 12-game streak. They came from a goal down in the last five minutes — Messi assisting both. The pre-match read, preserved.
Read the analysis → ⚽ Match Analysis · July 13, 2026France 43.5% to win in 90 minutes — but ~60% to reach the final. The market saw a coin flip; Spain won it 2-0.
Read the analysis → 🌍 Geopolitics · July 12, 2026He missed his own father's state funeral. Traders price just 36% odds he's photographed this year.
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