Knicks vs Cavaliers odds: New York routed Milwaukee, went into Cleveland's visit at 61.5% on Polymarket, and lost 115-107 as James Harden scored 32
The 61.5% figure in circulation on Wednesday was a single-game moneyline: Polymarket's market on the Cavaliers at Knicks game of November 11, read by BetG8 at 11:49 UTC that morning with Cleveland at 38.5%. It was not a season or title price, and that game has now been played, so the contract is due to resolve in Cleveland's favor. Against the Bucks on Tuesday, Jalen Brunson scored 23, Karl-Anthony Towns had 21 points and 16 rebounds and OG Anunoby hit five threes, according to ESPN; Milwaukee fell to 1-10 with a seventh straight loss, without Tyler Herro (knee). On Wednesday the Knicks erased a 10-point fourth-quarter deficit and tied the game 101-101 with 5:09 left, but Cleveland scored the next six points, the AP reported. Harden's go-ahead three came with 4:22 left. Brunson finished with 27 and Towns posted his 11th straight double-double with 21 points, 11 rebounds and eight assists.
What the market is pricing
The game price and the futures that matter for both teams (UTC):
| Market | Polymarket | Kalshi | Read |
|---|---|---|---|
| Knicks to beat Cavaliers, Nov 11 (pre-game) | 61.5% | n/a | Nov 11, 11:49 |
| Knicks 2027 NBA title, before the game | 7.5% | 6.5% | Nov 11, 11:47 |
| Knicks 2027 NBA title, after the game | 7.5% | 6.5% | Nov 12, 16:46 |
| Cavaliers 2027 NBA title | 2.3% | 2.5% | Nov 12, 16:46 |
| Celtics 2027 NBA title | 7.5% | 7.5% | Nov 12, 16:46 |
New York remains level with Boston on Polymarket and fifth on the combined board, behind San Antonio, Oklahoma City, Philadelphia and Boston. The full table is on BetG8's live NBA championship odds page.
What a 61.5% favorite losing means
Nothing unusual, in market terms. A 61.5% price implies the underdog wins roughly two times in five, and on the second night of a back-to-back against a team the Knicks had beaten four days earlier, the price already allowed for that. A single result does not show whether a price was wrong; that can only be judged across many games, which is why our implied probability explainer stresses calibration over outcomes. The muted title move fits the same logic: one regular-season loss changes little about a June outcome.
The Cleveland side
For the Cavaliers, the win was their second in six games this month, per the AP, and left them at 6-6, according to ESPN. It also mattered for Harden, whose 32 points came after a run of weaker shooting nights that the AP described as a slump. Cleveland's title price of 2.3% to 2.5% places it 14th on the board, a long way below where an Eastern finalist from last season would usually trade. The Knicks are 6-5 after an 0-3 start.
What to watch next
Whether New York's title price holds at about 7% as the schedule continues, and whether Josh Hart, who missed Tuesday's game with an illness according to ESPN, returns. On the MVP board Brunson is priced at 0.2% on Polymarket and 1.0% on Kalshi and Towns at 0.3% and 1.0%, per BetG8's live MVP page; those long-shot prices are thin and can move on little volume.
Method and limits
The game price and the before-game title prices are from BetG8's newsroom log, read from the Polymarket Gamma API and BetG8's live pages at the times shown; Kalshi's single-game price was not logged. The 16:46 UTC prices come from BetG8's live championship and MVP pages, which read both venues every five minutes. Game details are from ESPN, the AP via JOX FM and CBS Sports. Prices are not forecasts, and nothing here is betting advice.
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- NBA championship odds, live on Kalshi and Polymarket
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- Implied probability explained
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Frequently asked questions
What were the Knicks vs Cavaliers odds?
Before the November 11, 2026 game, Polymarket priced the Knicks at 61.5% and the Cavaliers at 38.5%, as read by BetG8 at 11:49 UTC that morning.
Who won Knicks vs Cavaliers on November 11, 2026?
Cleveland won 115-107 at Madison Square Garden. James Harden scored 32 points and Donovan Mitchell 23; Jalen Brunson led New York with 27.
What are the Knicks' championship odds?
At 16:46 UTC on November 12, 2026, the Knicks were priced at 7.5% on Polymarket and 6.5% on Kalshi to win the 2027 NBA title, unchanged from before the loss.
Sources
- ESPN, Cavaliers 115-107 Knicks (Nov 11, 2026) game recap
- AP via JOX FM, James Harden (32) breaks slump, leads Cavaliers over Knicks
- ESPN, Knicks 117-85 Bucks game recap
- CBS Sports, Cavaliers vs Knicks gametracker, November 11, 2026
- Polymarket, Cavaliers vs Knicks, November 11, read 11:49 UTC, November 11, 2026
18+ only. This page reports market prices and published facts; it is not betting, financial or legal advice, and prices are not predictions. If gambling stops being fun, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER.