NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is P4 at 50.0%, ahead of P5 at 50.0%. $343K traded across 60 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
CFB (All)NCAAFsportfootballNCAA Football
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| P4 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| P5 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| P6 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| P7 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| P8 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| P9 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| P10 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| P11 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| P12 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| P13 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| P14 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| P15 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| P16 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| P17 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| P18 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| P19 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| P20 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| P21 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| P22 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| P23 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| P24 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| P25 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| P26 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| P27 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| P28 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| P29 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| P30 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Other | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Jeremiah Smith | 37.0% | +1.0 |
| Darian Mensah | 27.5% | -2.0 |
| CJ Carr | 14.1% | +1.1 |
| Trinidad Chambliss | 8.9% | +0.9 |
| Sam Leavitt | 5.1% | -0.3 |
| LaNorris Sellers | 2.1% | +0.1 |
| Jesse Legree | 1.6% | -0.3 |
| Keelon Russell | 1.3% | +0.1 |
| Jayden Maiava | 1.2% | -0.1 |
| Drew Mestemaker | 1.2% | +0.1 |
| Julian Sayin | 1.1% | -0.1 |
| Kevin Jennings | 1.1% | 0.0 |
| Arch Manning | 1.1% | -0.1 |
| Gunner Stockton | 1.1% | 0.0 |
| Kewan Lacy | 1.1% | -0.4 |
| Josh Hoover | 1.0% | 0.0 |
| Ahmad Hardy | 1.0% | -1.6 |
| Bo Jackson | 1.0% | -1.8 |
| Malachi Toney | 0.7% | -0.1 |
| Dante Moore | 0.4% | 0.0 |
| John Mateer | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Rocco Becht | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Hammond | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Austin Mack | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Brendan Sorsby | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Marcel Reed | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Byrum Brown | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Bryce Underwood | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Demond Williams Jr. | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Kamario Taylor | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Jadan Baugh | 0.1% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:20 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Heisman Trophy, awarded to the most outstanding player in college football, with the winner announced at the Heisman ceremony currently scheduled for December 12, 2026. If the ceremony is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been announced within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust (https://www.heisman.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner"?
- As of November 6, 2026, P4 is the favorite at 50.0%, followed by P5 at 50.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on December 27, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $343K in total and $2K in the last 24 hours, with about $383K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.