Rookie of the Year odds, live: the NBA and NFL rookie races on Kalshi and Polymarket
Live · updated 2026-11-15 11:46 UTC · refreshes every 5 minutes2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year
| Player | Polymarket | Kalshi | PM − Kalshi | Odds | Cheaper YES |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaxel Lendeborg | 35.7% | 40.0% | -4.3 | +164 | Polymarket |
| Cameron Boozer | 23.5% | 20.5% | +3.0 | +355 | Kalshi |
| Darius Acuff Jr. | 15.5% | 19.0% | -3.5 | +480 | Polymarket |
| Darryn Peterson | 8.2% | 7.0% | +1.1 | +1220 | Kalshi |
| AJ Dybantsa | 8.5% | 5.5% | +3.0 | +1329 | Kalshi |
| Caleb Wilson | 3.7% | 1.5% | +2.2 | +3746 | Kalshi |
| Kingston Flemings | 1.2% | 1.0% | +0.2 | +8991 | – |
| Brayden Burries | 0.3% | 1.0% | -0.7 | +15285 | Polymarket |
| Aday Mara | 0.3% | 1.0% | -0.8 | +15900 | Polymarket |
| Keaton Wagler | 0.2% | 1.0% | -0.8 | +16567 | Polymarket |
| Mikel Brown Jr. | 0.1% | 1.0% | -0.9 | +17291 | Polymarket |
| Nate Ament | 0.1% | 1.0% | -0.9 | +17291 | Polymarket |
| Morez Johnson Jr. | 0.1% | 1.0% | -0.9 | +18082 | Polymarket |
| Hannes Steinbach | 0.1% | 1.0% | -0.9 | +18082 | Polymarket |
| Dailyn Swain | 0.1% | 1.0% | -0.9 | +18082 | Polymarket |
| Bennett Stirtz | 0.1% | 1.0% | -0.9 | +18082 | Polymarket |
2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year
| Player | Polymarket | 24h change (pts) | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fernando Mendoza | 18.4% | +2.3 | +443 |
| Makai Lemon | 3.6% | -0.3 | +2640 |
| Jeremiyah Love | 2.3% | +0.8 | +4248 |
| Mike Washington Jr. | 2.2% | +0.1 | +4445 |
| Omar Cooper Jr. | 1.8% | – | +5614 |
How to read the tables
Each row is one player and the price is the implied probability that he wins the award. In the NBA table the two venues are shown side by side with the gap between them; the NFL table is Polymarket only. The odds column converts the price to American odds so you can compare it with any sportsbook board.
What moves rookie markets
Minutes and usage matter most early in the season: a rookie who starts on a rebuilding team can post the counting stats voters reward, while one stuck behind veterans struggles to catch up even if he is the better prospect. Injuries move these markets sharply, because a rookie who misses weeks loses the stretch of games voters remember. In the NFL, offensive rookies at quarterback and running back tend to lead the board. For the senior awards, see the NBA MVP odds and NFL MVP odds pages.
Method and limits
Prices come straight from the public Polymarket Gamma API and the Kalshi trade API and refresh every five minutes. Outcomes are matched by name, so one listed on only one venue shows a dash in the other column. We use the midpoint of the best bid and best ask where the book is tight and the last trade otherwise. Nothing here is a forecast by BetG8: these are prices other people are paying. Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk, are restricted by age and location, and this page is not betting, financial or legal advice.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favorite for NBA Rookie of the Year?
The first row of the NBA table is the current favorite, ranked by the average of the Kalshi and Polymarket prices. The order changes most in the first two months of the season.
When are the Rookie of the Year awards announced?
The NFL announces its AP awards at NFL Honors before Super Bowl LXI in February 2027, and the NBA announces its award after the regular season in the spring of 2027.
Can I trade awards markets from the US?
Kalshi offers sports event contracts in most US states, although several states have challenged them in court. Polymarket's main venue is not open to US residents, and Polymarket US is a separate app with its own books.
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