Bears Super Bowl odds after the Buccaneers win: Chicago, Denver, the Giants, the Chargers and the Rams on the Week 9 board
Week 9 also produced an NFL record in Denver, a long-awaited Giants win in Philadelphia, a 0-8 start for the Chargers and a significant injury for the Rams. Below is where each of those teams now sits on the title board, followed by the stories behind the moves.
What the market is pricing
Prices from BetG8's live Super Bowl odds page, read at 16:49 UTC on November 10:
| Super Bowl LXI, 16:49 UTC Nov 10 | Polymarket | Kalshi | PM minus Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco 49ers | 14.3% | 15.0% | -0.7 |
| Buffalo Bills | 14.5% | 14.0% | +0.5 |
| Chicago Bears | 10.9% | 12.5% | -1.6 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 11.9% | 10.5% | +1.4 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 8.5% | 7.5% | +1.0 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 6.5% | 5.5% | +1.0 |
| Denver Broncos | 5.1% | 5.5% | -0.4 |
| New York Giants | 1.4% | 1.5% | -0.1 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 0.1% | 1.0% | -0.9 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 0.1% | 1.0% | -0.9 |
No team is above 15% on either venue, which is a flat top for mid-November. Kalshi prices of 1.0% on the longest shots most likely reflect that venue's one-cent minimum price rather than a real view that those teams are ten times likelier than Polymarket says.
Bears: a walk-off win, then a fade
Williams went 14 of 23 for 193 yards, two touchdowns and three interceptions in the first half, his first multi-turnover game since his rookie season according to ProFootballTalk, yet Chicago still led 17-6 at the break. Tampa Bay came back to tie it at 24 before the Bears won it on the final play, according to Fox 32 Chicago and Vavel's live coverage. Polymarket's post-game jump to 14.3% has since reversed by about 3.4 points while Kalshi has moved less, and we did not find a single news item that explains the Polymarket retreat. Buffalo's Monday night game, covered in our Bills Super Bowl odds article, and Jacksonville's trades, covered in our Jaguars Super Bowl odds article, have reshaped the top of the board around Chicago.
Broncos, Giants and Eagles
Denver beat Carolina 26-21 on the road for a regular-season NFL-record 16th straight one-score win, according to Athlon Sports. Bo Nix went 25 of 37 for 237 yards, two touchdowns and an interception, and the 7-2 Broncos have won five straight going into their Week 10 bye. The market is unmoved by the streak: Denver sits eighth at about 5%. One common reading is that close wins say less about team strength than large margins do.
The Giants won 19-11 at Lincoln Financial Field, their first win in Philadelphia since 2013. Jameis Winston threw a touchdown to Isaiah Likely after J.J. McCarthy hurt his hip in the third quarter, and McCarthy returned to finish the game, according to ProFootballTalk. New York is 5-2-1 and trades at 1.4% to 1.5%. The Eagles are 2-7 and are priced at the venue floor.
Chargers 0-8, Rams lose Nacua
Houston beat the Chargers 44-22 at SoFi Stadium as C.J. Stroud threw for 384 yards, according to the Chargers' own recap. Justin Herbert was sacked eight times and hurt his non-throwing hand early in the fourth quarter; Jim Harbaugh said "it could be a fracture," and further tests were planned for Monday, according to Yahoo Sports. The 0-8 Chargers are at the floor on both venues.
The Rams beat Washington 20-13, but Puka Nacua, who caught 14 passes for 150 yards and a touchdown, has MCL and PCL sprains in his right knee and turf toe. Sean McVay said he will likely go on injured reserve and miss at least a month, which covers games against Arizona, Green Bay, Kansas City and San Francisco, according to ESPN. Los Angeles is 5-4 and still trades at 6.5% on Polymarket and 5.5% on Kalshi.
What to watch next
Watch the Herbert test results, whether the Rams formally place Nacua on injured reserve, and whether the Bears gap between venues closes. Kansas City's price also depends on Patrick Mahomes' elbow, covered in our Mahomes injury update.
Method and limits
Prices come from BetG8's live Super Bowl page, which reads the public Polymarket Gamma API and Kalshi trade API every five minutes; figures were read at 16:49 UTC on November 10, 2026, and the 14.3% Bears figure is an earlier BetG8 reading at 04:43 UTC on November 9. Game facts are from the sources listed below. Prices are not forecasts by BetG8.
LIVE MARKETPro Football 2027 ChampionTrade on Polymarket →Related
- Super Bowl odds, live on Kalshi and Polymarket
- NFL MVP odds, live
- Bills Super Bowl odds after Monday night
- Jaguars Super Bowl odds after the trades
- Mahomes elbow injury update
Frequently asked questions
What are the Bears' Super Bowl odds?
At 16:49 UTC on November 10, 2026, Chicago was 10.9% on Polymarket and 12.5% on Kalshi to win Super Bowl LXI, third behind San Francisco and Buffalo.
What record did the Broncos set?
Denver's 26-21 win at Carolina was its 16th straight one-score win, a regular-season NFL record according to Athlon Sports.
How long will Puka Nacua be out?
Sean McVay said Nacua will likely go on injured reserve with MCL and PCL sprains and turf toe, which means at least four games.
Sources
- NBC Sports (ProFootballTalk), Despite three Caleb Williams INTs, Bears lead 17-6 at halftime
- Vavel, Buccaneers vs Bears live score updates
- Athlon Sports, Broncos and Bo Nix set NFL record
- NBC Sports (ProFootballTalk), Giants end 13-year losing streak in Philadelphia
- Yahoo Sports, Justin Herbert possible fracture
- ESPN, Rams' Nacua likely to hit IR
- BetG8, Super Bowl odds, live, read 16:49 UTC, November 10, 2026
18+ only. This page reports market prices and published facts; it is not betting, financial or legal advice, and prices are not predictions. If gambling stops being fun, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER.