Warriors vs Spurs odds tonight with Curry out: San Antonio is a 13.5-point favorite, and Polymarket gives Golden State a 13.5% chance

News analysis · Updated November 13, 2026 · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions · By BetG8 Editorial · Sports

This is the first game Golden State plays since the diagnosis covered in our Curry injury update, so this piece stays on tonight's numbers. The Warriors (8-4) had an eight-game winning streak end in Houston on Wednesday. The Spurs (10-2) have won 10 in a row, the longest active streak in the league according to Field Level Media, and came back from 22 points down to beat Chicago 124-119 the same night. Both teams are 1-0 in NBA Cup group play.

What the market is pricing

Sportsbook lines are the Bovada numbers published by TheRx, which it checked at about 04:00 UTC on November 13; Pick Dawgz listed the same 13.5-point spread with a 218.5 total. The game prices are from the public Polymarket API at about 11:00 UTC. Futures are from BetG8's live NBA championship odds and NBA MVP odds pages, both stamped 10:58 UTC.

A -850 moneyline implies about 89.5%, and +550 implies about 15.4%. The two add up to roughly 104.9% because the sportsbook's margin is built into both sides. With that margin removed, the Bovada line puts Golden State near 14.7%, about a point above the 13.5% on Polymarket (bid 13 cents, ask 14). The exchange also lists the spread as its own contract: Spurs -13.5 was priced at 47.5%, just under even. The moneyline market had about $44,800 in volume, which is small.

How the game price moved since Thursday

BetG8 read the Warriors at 19.5% for this game on Thursday morning, before the MRI result was public, and at about 15.5% on Thursday evening, after the team confirmed the injury. The price is 13.5% now. Roughly six points have come off in a day, most of it around the confirmation that Curry would not play.

The Warriors' injury report also lists Jimmy Butler, Moses Moody, Kristaps Porzingis and Brandon Williams as out, with Charles Bassey probable, according to Heavy. San Antonio is not at full strength either. De'Aaron Fox (hip soreness) and Devin Vassell (adductor tightness) are questionable, and Tobias Harris and Jayden Quaintance are out, per the injury report cited by TheRx and Pick Dawgz.

The Warriors without Curry, in numbers

The sample is small. The Warriors' game notes say Golden State has outscored opponents by 2.3 points per 100 possessions in the 318 minutes Curry has been off the floor this season, and ESPN notes the team is 1-1 in games he has missed. Last season the record without him was 13-26. On the other side, Victor Wembanyama is averaging 30.3 points, 11.7 rebounds and a league-leading 4.4 blocks, and 32.6 points per game during the winning streak, per the same notes.

Why the futures have not moved

The season-long boards look the same as they did on Thursday. San Antonio's title price is unchanged at 22.5% and 21.5%. Golden State is 2.5% on Polymarket and 3.5% on Kalshi, against 2.3% and 3.5% at our Thursday evening read. The Spurs' form shows up more in the award market, where Wembanyama leads Luka Doncic on both venues, a race covered in our Wembanyama MVP odds report.

What to watch next

The league injury report is updated through the day, so the final statuses of Fox and Vassell come first. A San Antonio win would make it 11 straight and put the Spurs at 2-0 in Group C, which also includes the Lakers, Trail Blazers and Kings. For Golden State, ESPN reports Curry will miss at least seven games, so tonight is the first of several results without him.

Method and limits

Sportsbook odds are a dated snapshot from Bovada as published by TheRx; BetG8 did not read a sportsbook directly, and the line may have changed since. Polymarket game prices are midpoints of the best bid and ask from its public API at about 11:00 UTC on November 13, 2026. Title and MVP prices come from BetG8's live pages, stamped 10:58 UTC. Implied probabilities are our arithmetic from the posted odds. Injury statuses are as reported by Heavy, TheRx, Pick Dawgz and ESPN. These are market prices, not predictions, and not forecasts by BetG8.

Related

• NBA championship odds, live
• Stephen Curry injury update: the oblique tear diagnosis
• Steph Curry leaves Houston game: first injury report and odds
• Wembanyama MVP odds after 10 straight Spurs wins
• Moneyline, spread and totals explained

Frequently asked questions

What is the spread for Warriors vs Spurs tonight?

Bovada, as published by TheRx and checked at about 04:00 UTC on November 13, 2026, had the Spurs at -13.5 with a total of 219.5. Lines can change before the 9:30 p.m. ET tip-off.

Is Stephen Curry playing tonight against the Spurs?

No. The Warriors list him as out with an oblique abdominal tear, and the team has said he will be re-evaluated in two weeks.

What are the Spurs' championship odds?

At 10:58 UTC on November 13, 2026, San Antonio was 22.5% on Polymarket and 21.5% on Kalshi to win the 2027 NBA title, first on both boards. These are market prices, not predictions.

Sources

• Heavy, Golden State Warriors announce injury report vs. San Antonio Spurs (Nov. 13)
• Golden State Warriors, Game preview: Warriors at San Antonio Spurs, 11/13/26
• ESPN, Warriors' Curry out at least 2 weeks with oblique injury
• Field Level Media, Spurs go for 11th straight win, face Steph Curry-less Warriors
• TheRx, Warriors vs Spurs odds (Bovada), odds checked about 04:00 UTC, November 13, 2026
• Pick Dawgz, Warriors vs Spurs odds
• Polymarket, Warriors vs. Spurs, read about 11:00 UTC, November 13, 2026
• BetG8, NBA championship odds, live, read 10:58 UTC, November 13, 2026

18+ only. This page reports market prices and published facts; it is not betting, financial or legal advice, and prices are not predictions. If gambling stops being fun, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER.