Bengals vs Falcons Madrid odds: Cincinnati at 61.5% to 62% for Sunday at the Bernabeu, with Atlanta missing Brian Robinson
What the market is pricing
Kalshi and Polymarket are within half a point of each other. Kalshi quoted the Bengals at 61 cents bid and 62 cents asked and the Falcons at 38 and 39 cents; the table shows last trades. Polymarket's game event, including its totals lines, had about $218,300 of volume.
| Game market, Nov 7, 17:53 UTC | Kalshi | Polymarket | American odds (Polymarket) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bengals to win | 62% | 61.5% | -160 |
| Falcons to win | 39% | 38.5% | +160 |
A 3-point spread usually lines up with a moneyline price close to 60%, so the prediction markets and the sportsbook number are telling the same story. Yahoo Sports puts the total at 52.5 points.
| Super Bowl LXI, Nov 7 | Polymarket | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bills (leader) | 13.5% | 12.5% |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 5.0% | 5.5% |
| Atlanta Falcons | 0.7% | 1.0% |
For the season, the gap is wider: the Bengals are priced at about one in 20 to win the Super Bowl and the Falcons at about one in 100 to one in 140. Every team is on the live Super Bowl odds page.
Injuries and quarterbacks
NFL.com's Friday injury roundup says Brian Robinson was ruled out for Sunday's game against Cincinnati with a hamstring injury, and wide receiver Zachariah Branch (hamstring) is also out for Atlanta. On the Cincinnati side, safety Kyle Dugger (quadricep) is out and defensive end Cedric Johnson (ankle and foot) is questionable.
The quarterback matchup is Joe Burrow against Michael Penix Jr., per Yahoo Sports. Atlanta still has Bijan Robinson in the backfield, so the absence of Brian Robinson thins the rotation rather than removing the lead back.
A neutral site in Madrid
Neither team is at home. The game is part of the NFL's international series and is played at Real Madrid's stadium, so the usual home-field adjustment does not apply to either side. That leaves the price driven by the records, 5-2 against 3-5, and the injury lists above.
A 38.5% price is far from a long shot. In a market priced this way, the Falcons are expected to win roughly two games in five such matchups.
What to watch next
Kickoff is 9:30 a.m. ET (14:30 UTC) on Sunday. Watch the final inactive lists about 90 minutes before kickoff, whether the line moves off 3 overnight, and how the Bengals' 5.0% to 5.5% Super Bowl price reacts to the result. Title prices refresh every five minutes on the live page.
Method and limits
Game prices were read from the public Kalshi and Polymarket market data at 17:53 UTC on November 7, 2026, and Super Bowl prices from the BetG8 live odds page at the same time. Kalshi figures are last trades; Polymarket figures are displayed outcome prices. American odds are converted from the Polymarket price with no vig removed. Injury designations are from NFL.com's November 6 roundup and can change before kickoff. These are market prices, not BetG8 predictions.
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Frequently asked questions
What are the Bengals vs Falcons odds for the Madrid game?
As of 17:53 UTC on November 7, 2026, Polymarket priced the Bengals at 61.5% and the Falcons at 38.5%, and Kalshi had 62% and 39%. Yahoo Sports lists the Bengals as 3-point favourites with a total of 52.5.
When is the NFL game in Madrid?
Sunday, November 8, 2026, at 9:30 a.m. ET at Santiago Bernabeu in Madrid.
Is Brian Robinson playing for the Falcons?
No. NFL.com reports he was ruled out for the game against Cincinnati with a hamstring injury.
Sources
- NFL.com, NFL news roundup, Friday, November 6
- Yahoo Sports, Bengals vs. Falcons prediction and odds
- Kalshi, Cincinnati vs Atlanta game market (KXNFLGAME-26NOV08CINATL), read 17:53 UTC, November 7, 2026
- Polymarket, Bengals vs. Falcons, read 17:53 UTC, November 7, 2026
- BetG8, Super Bowl odds, live
18+ only. This page reports live market prices and team news from public sources. It is not betting, financial or investment advice. If gambling stops being fun, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER.