Wembanyama MVP odds: 40 points and eight blocks against Phoenix run the Spurs' streak to nine, and the venues split by 3.5 points
Yahoo Sports and Yardbarker describe a performance in which Wembanyama controlled both ends: 40 points on the offensive end and eight blocked shots on the other, a two-way line that few players produce in any season. NBC Sports' fantasy desk called it another robust stat line in a run of them. San Antonio has not lost in nine games and next plays at Chicago on Wednesday, November 11.
What the market is pricing
Prices from BetG8's live NBA MVP odds and NBA championship odds pages, read at 13:21 UTC on November 10:
| Market, 13:21 UTC Nov 10 | Polymarket | Kalshi | PM minus Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| MVP: Luka Doncic | 37.6% | 37.5% | +0.1 |
| MVP: Victor Wembanyama | 31.0% | 34.5% | -3.5 |
| MVP: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 9.5% | 10.5% | -1.0 |
| Title: San Antonio Spurs | 21.5% | 22.5% | -1.0 |
| Title: Oklahoma City Thunder | 15.5% | 14.5% | +1.0 |
The averaged MVP price of about 32.8% converts to roughly +205 in American odds. The title price of 22% is the highest on the board, ahead of Oklahoma City.
Why Doncic still leads
Doncic returned for the Lakers this week after missing games, and award markets give heavy weight to scoring volume and to a player who is expected to stay healthy through the 65-game eligibility threshold. Wembanyama's case rests on two-way impact and team record; Doncic's rests on usage and a long history of MVP-level seasons. With the season barely three weeks old, both prices are mostly about expectations for the next five months rather than what has happened so far.
Gilgeous-Alexander, third on both venues at about 10%, shows how quickly the board has concentrated. Two players now account for close to 70% of the implied probability, which leaves little room for anyone else unless one of the leaders misses significant time. That concentration is typical of award markets early in a season, when traders anchor on a small group of established names and on the first few weeks of results.
Why the venues disagree
A 3.5-point gap on a 30% player is large compared with most award markets. The two venues run separate order books with different trader bases, and on this contract Kalshi's book prices Wembanyama higher while both agree almost exactly on Doncic. Award markets are thinner than game markets, and fees, spreads and months of capital lockup until the award is announced make it costly to trade the gap away. Our Kalshi vs Polymarket comparison lists every shared market side by side.
What to watch next
Wednesday's game in Chicago is the next data point, and a tenth straight win would be the Spurs' longest run of the season so far. Watch whether the Wembanyama gap narrows: if Polymarket moves toward Kalshi, traders are buying the streak; if Kalshi drifts back, the earlier move was momentum. Also watch Doncic's minutes in his first games back, since any sign of a load-management plan would hit his price first.
Method and limits
Prices come from BetG8's live NBA MVP and championship pages, which read the public Polymarket Gamma API and Kalshi trade API every five minutes; figures were read at 13:21 UTC on November 10, 2026. American odds use the average of the two venues. Game facts are from Yahoo Sports, Yardbarker and NBC Sports. Prices are not forecasts by BetG8.
LIVE MARKETPro Football 2027 ChampionTrade on Polymarket →Related
- NBA MVP odds, live on Kalshi and Polymarket
- NBA championship odds, live
- Kalshi vs Polymarket odds
- Implied probability explained
Frequently asked questions
What are Victor Wembanyama's MVP odds?
At 13:21 UTC on November 10, 2026, Wembanyama was 31.0% on Polymarket and 34.5% on Kalshi to win NBA MVP, second behind Luka Doncic on both venues.
How many games have the Spurs won in a row?
Nine, after a 122-96 win over Phoenix on November 9 that took San Antonio to 9-2.
Are the Spurs the NBA title favorite?
Yes. San Antonio led the championship board at 21.5% on Polymarket and 22.5% on Kalshi, ahead of Oklahoma City at 15.5% and 14.5%.
Sources
- Yahoo Sports, 3 takeaways as the Spurs win a ninth straight
- Yardbarker, Spurs beat Suns 122-96 as Wembanyama scores 40
- NBC Sports, Victor Wembanyama drops another robust stat line
- BetG8, NBA MVP odds, live, read 13:21 UTC, November 10, 2026
18+ only. This page reports market prices and published facts; it is not betting, financial or legal advice, and prices are not predictions. If gambling stops being fun, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER.