Georgia national championship odds rise to 35.9% after the No. 1 Bulldogs beat Missouri 48-21
This follows our Saturday preview of the week’s biggest games, which had Georgia as a 16.5-point favorite and its title price at 29.5%.
What happened
The game was shaped by its first snap. Georgia linebacker Raylen Wilson intercepted Missouri quarterback Austin Simmons on the opening offensive play and returned the ball 30 yards to the Missouri 7, the first interception of his career. Two plays later Nate Frazier ran in from four yards, and the Bulldogs led just over a minute into the game, according to the Associated Press.
Georgia then scored on each of its next four possessions. Quarterback Gunner Stockton ran in from eight yards, Frazier added a three-yard touchdown to finish an 87-yard drive, Peyton Woodring kicked a 41-yard field goal, and Stockton found Isiah Canion for a 12-yard touchdown. The lead reached 31-0 before Missouri scored with 3:05 left in the second quarter, the Atlanta Journal-Constitution reported, and it was 31-7 at halftime.
Stockton completed 18 of 24 passes for 252 yards and a touchdown, plus the rushing score, and left the game after the first play of the fourth quarter. Frazier finished with 72 yards and three touchdowns on 14 carries. Georgia outrushed Missouri 182 yards to 102. Simmons threw three touchdown passes for the Tigers, who fell to 6-4.
The win came in front of more than 92,000 at Sanford Stadium and was Georgia’s 11th in a row over Missouri, a run that dates to 2013. It also marked a cleaner return to the top of the rankings than the last one: about a month ago the Bulldogs reached No. 1 for the first time this season and promptly lost at home to unranked Auburn. They have won every game since, including lopsided results against Florida and Ole Miss.
What the market is pricing
Prices below are from BetG8’s live college football national championship odds page, stamped 02:08 UTC on November 15. Each is the price of a contract that pays $1 if the team wins the title. Georgia’s earlier prices were read at 05:44 UTC on November 14.
| Team | Polymarket | Kalshi | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia | 35.9% | 34.5% | Up 6.4 and 4.0 points since Saturday morning |
| Notre Dame | 18.5% | 15.5% | Polymarket 3.0 points higher |
| Alabama | 11.7% | 11.5% | Venues within 0.2 points |
| Miami | 10.1% | 8.5% | Polymarket 1.6 points higher |
| Texas | 8.8% | 8.5% | Read during its game at LSU |
| Indiana | 6.9% | 7.5% | Kalshi 0.6 points higher |
Two things stand out. First, Georgia’s price is close to double that of the second team on Polymarket and more than double on Kalshi. Second, the two venues disagree slightly about the size of the move: Polymarket was the lower of the two on Saturday morning and is now the higher by about 1.5 points.
The table is a snapshot taken while other games were still being played. Texas and LSU were in progress at the time of the read, and Utah at Arizona had not kicked off, so several rows will have moved by the time the weekend’s results are complete. Stockton’s own award price was unchanged between venues: 3.5% on both Polymarket and Kalshi on the live Heisman Trophy odds page.
Why it matters
A rise of four to six points on a 27-point win over a ranked opponent says traders treated the result as information, not as a formality. Georgia was a 16.5-point favorite and covered that with room to spare, and the manner of the win, a 31-0 lead built in a quarter and a half, answered some of the doubt left by the Auburn loss.
It also matters where the money went. Title contracts across a field tend to add up to roughly 100%, so points gained by one team are points given up by the others. With Georgia now holding more than a third of that total on both venues, the market is pricing the rest of the field as a group of contenders in the 5% to 18% range and nobody else close.
Even so, 35.9% is a long way from certainty. At that price the market still puts close to a two in three chance on some other team winning the title, and the Bulldogs have already shown once this season that the top ranking can be lost in a week. A market price is what traders are paying at one moment, not a forecast by BetG8.
What to watch next
Georgia plays at ranked South Carolina on Saturday, November 21, its final conference game. According to the AP, a win would secure a place in the SEC Championship Game on December 5 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. The Bulldogs then close the regular season at home against Georgia Tech. Missouri hosts Kentucky next and finishes at home against Oklahoma on November 28.
The playoff committee’s weekly rankings come out on Tuesday, and from November they move title prices more than almost anything short of a result. Game lines for next weekend will appear on the College football odds today page once Polymarket lists them. The national championship contracts settle after the title game in January 2027.
Method: market prices were read from BetG8’s live odds page in this run. Game details are from the Associated Press and the Atlanta Journal-Constitution.
LIVE MARKETPro Football 2027 ChampionTrade on Polymarket →Related
- College football national championship odds, live
- College football odds today
- Heisman Trophy odds, live
- College football odds: Texas at LSU, Georgia, Utah
- Georgia vs Ole Miss score and playoff odds
- College Football Playoff rankings: Utah No. 2 and title odds
- Kalshi vs Polymarket odds on every shared market
Frequently asked questions
What are Georgia's national championship odds right now?
At 02:08 UTC on November 15, 2026, Georgia was priced at 35.9% on Polymarket and 34.5% on Kalshi to win the 2026 college football national championship, the highest of any team on both venues. These are market prices, not predictions.
How much did Georgia's title odds move after the Missouri game?
Before the weekend, at 05:44 UTC on November 14, Georgia was 29.5% on Polymarket and 30.5% on Kalshi. After the 48-21 win over Missouri the prices were 35.9% and 34.5%, a rise of 6.4 points on Polymarket and 4.0 points on Kalshi.
Who does Georgia play next?
Georgia visits South Carolina on Saturday, November 21, 2026, then hosts Georgia Tech to close the regular season. The SEC Championship Game is scheduled for December 5 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta.
Sources
- Associated Press via ABC News, Georgia marks return to No. 1 by routing Missouri 48-21
- Atlanta Journal-Constitution, Georgia football defeats Missouri
- Polymarket, 2026 college football national champion, read 02:08 UTC
- Kalshi, College football national champion market, read 02:08 UTC
- BetG8, College football national championship odds, live, read 02:08 UTC
Market prices, not predictions or advice. 18+. This page reports market prices and published facts; it is not betting, financial or legal advice. If gambling stops being fun, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER.