Steph Curry injury update: an abdominal tweak in Houston ends the Warriors' eight-game run, and Kalshi drops their title price to 3.5%
According to ESPN, Curry hit a 28-foot three off a Draymond Green screen with 7:22 left in the first quarter, then yelled in pain and signaled to the bench. NBA.com reports he winced while backpedaling, and Kerr said Curry told him he "tweaked something in his abdominal area" and had never done it before. That three was his only basket. The team listed right abdominal soreness and ruled him out early in the second quarter. Curry entered the night second in the NBA at 30.6 points per game, according to the Associated Press.
Without him, Golden State still made a game of it. The AP and Field Level Media report that the Warriors cut a 15-point deficit to 88-85 in the fourth quarter before Houston pulled away. Yaxel Lendeborg led the Warriors with 25 points and 10 rebounds and Brandin Podziemski added 22. For Houston, Kevin Durant scored 20, and Alperen Sengun had 19 points, 13 rebounds and nine assists.
What the market is pricing
Prices from BetG8's live NBA championship odds and NBA MVP odds pages and the public Polymarket API, read between 09:15 and 09:17 UTC on November 12. Our pre-game reads, taken at 13:43 UTC on November 11, are shown for comparison:
| Market | Polymarket now | Kalshi now | Pre-game (PM / Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Title: Golden State Warriors | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% / 5.5% |
| Title: Houston Rockets | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% / 5.5% |
| Title: San Antonio Spurs | 22.5% | 21.5% | n/a |
| MVP: Stephen Curry | 2.2% | 1.5% | n/a |
| Friday: Warriors at Spurs, Warriors win | 19.5% | n/a | n/a |
The biggest move is on Kalshi, where the Warriors title contract has fallen two points since before tip-off. Polymarket was already lower and slipped only 0.3 points, so the gap between venues has narrowed from 3.2 points to 1.5. Houston's title price is unchanged on both venues despite the win.
Why the abdominal tag matters
An abdominal strain can mean anything from a few days to several weeks, which is why traders are reluctant to price it hard before the MRI result is public. CBS Sports noted that an ESPN post initially cited a right hip issue, so even the location of the injury was reported inconsistently in the first hours. Kerr's comment that concern is "high" is the one firm signal, and it came before the scan results were back, according to NBA.com.
The timing compounds the problem. CBS Sports lists Jimmy Butler, Kristaps Porzingis, Brandon Williams and Gary Payton II as out, and Will Richard is playing through a torn thumb ligament. A team that started 0-3 and then won eight straight did much of that with Curry carrying the offense, so the market is treating his health as the main input to the Warriors' price.
The streak and the venue gap
The eight-game run was Golden State's longest since 2022, according to the AP. Before the game, Polymarket's moneyline had Houston at 64.5%, so the result itself was the expected one. What changed is the Curry news, and the two venues reacted differently: Kalshi traders cut sharply, while Polymarket, which had already priced the Warriors near 2%, barely moved. Separate order books, different trader pools and thin volume on long-shot futures explain most gaps like this. Our Kalshi vs Polymarket comparison tracks every shared market.
What to watch next
The MRI result is the next catalyst. Golden State finishes its five-game road trip at San Antonio on Friday, where Polymarket prices the Warriors at 19.5% against the league's title favorite, then faces Dallas and New Orleans on a back-to-back. A short-term listing such as day-to-day would likely pull the Kalshi price back toward its pre-game level. A multi-week timeline would probably push both venues lower and could take Curry out of the MVP board, where the 65-game eligibility rule leaves little margin for long absences.
Method and limits
Futures prices come from BetG8's live pages, which read the public Polymarket Gamma API and Kalshi trade API every five minutes; the game market was read directly from the Polymarket API. Pre-game figures are BetG8 reads from 13:43 UTC on November 11. Injury and game facts are from ESPN, NBA.com, CBS Sports, the AP via theScore and Field Level Media via Yardbarker. Prices are not forecasts by BetG8, and no diagnosis had been released at the time of writing.
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Frequently asked questions
What is Steph Curry's injury?
The Warriors listed right abdominal soreness after Curry left the November 11 game in Houston in the first quarter. He had an MRI, and no diagnosis or timeline had been announced as of 09:17 UTC on November 12.
What did Steve Kerr say about Curry?
Kerr said Curry told him he tweaked something in his abdominal area for the first time, and that "concern is high, but I have no idea the extent of the injury," according to NBA.com.
What are the Warriors' championship odds now?
At 09:15 UTC on November 12, 2026, Golden State was 2.0% on Polymarket and 3.5% on Kalshi to win the 2027 NBA title, down from 2.3% and 5.5% before the Rockets game.
Sources
- ESPN, Curry hurts abdomen, heads for MRI
- NBA.com, Stephen Curry leaves game vs. Rockets with abdominal soreness
- CBS Sports, Stephen Curry injury: concern high
- theScore (AP), Rockets beat Warriors 115-108 to end 8-game winning streak
- Yardbarker (Field Level Media), Rockets halt Warriors' 8-game winning streak
- BetG8, NBA championship odds, live, read 09:15 UTC, November 12, 2026
18+ only. This page reports market prices and published facts; it is not betting, financial or legal advice, and prices are not predictions. If gambling stops being fun, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER.