Jordan Love MVP odds: his price tripled after the 45-27 rout of New England, and Kalshi and Polymarket now disagree by 3.7 points
The Packers went into Foxborough as underdogs and left with a 45-27 win that moved them to 6-3 and dropped New England to 5-4, according to ESPN's box score. Love completed 23 of 29 passes for 372 yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions, added a 13-yard rushing score and a two-point conversion, and the defense intercepted Drake Maye three times among four takeaways. RotoWire notes the 372 yards are Love's second-highest total of the season, behind the 387 he threw in Week 1, and that he now has 2,618 passing yards, 19 touchdowns and six interceptions through nine games.
What the market is pricing
Before kickoff, BetG8's queue read Love at 2.8% on Polymarket and 3.5% on Kalshi. As of 08:54 UTC on November 9 the live NFL MVP board shows him fourth, level with Brock Purdy on Kalshi and just behind him on Polymarket.
| NFL MVP, 08:54 UTC Nov 9 | Polymarket | Kalshi | PM minus Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Burrow | 28.4% | 28.5% | -0.1 |
| Josh Allen | 25.0% | 25.5% | -0.5 |
| Brock Purdy | 11.8% | 14.5% | -2.7 |
| Jordan Love | 10.8% | 14.5% | -3.7 |
| Trevor Lawrence | 8.6% | 7.5% | +1.1 |
| Drake Maye | 1.8% | 1.5% | +0.3 |
The averaged price of about 12.7% converts to roughly +690 in American odds. The team-level move was much smaller: Green Bay to win Super Bowl LXI sits at 3.1% on Polymarket and 3.5% on Kalshi on the Super Bowl odds page, while New England is 2.2% and 2.5%.
Why the two venues disagree
A 3.7-point gap is the largest on the MVP board and one of the widest on any sports outcome BetG8 tracks, but it is not unusual for a long shot that has just been repriced. Award markets are thin compared with game markets: the whole Polymarket MVP event has about $1.5 million of volume, so a handful of orders can move one player several points. Kalshi's book, made up of US accounts trading in dollars, moved further overnight. Fees, the bid-ask spread and the months of capital lockup before the award is announced in February all eat into any apparent difference, which is why gaps like this can persist for days. Our Kalshi vs Polymarket comparison lists every shared market side by side.
How MVP voters usually decide
MVP is a vote taken after the regular season, so the price follows team record and narrative as much as statistics. Voters have overwhelmingly picked quarterbacks on top seeds; a 6-3 Green Bay team is in the playoff picture but not yet leading the NFC. Love's case rests on efficiency: 12.8 yards per attempt on Sunday and a second straight three-touchdown game, per RotoWire. Burrow and Allen still lead because their teams' records and season-long numbers give voters an easier story. The market is pricing Love as a live contender, not a favorite.
What to watch next
Green Bay hosts Minnesota in Week 10, a divisional game that both venues will treat as a test of whether Sunday was an outlier. Watch whether the Kalshi and Polymarket prices converge during the week; if they do, it usually happens toward the venue with more depth. Also watch the Purdy and Lawrence rows, because MVP prices are a closed pool: any gain for one quarterback has to come out of the others.
Method and limits
Prices come from BetG8's live NFL MVP and Super Bowl pages, which read the public Polymarket Gamma API and Kalshi trade API every five minutes; figures here were read at 08:54 UTC on November 9, 2026. Pre-game prices are from BetG8's newsroom queue reading of the same page on November 8. American odds are converted from the average of the two venues. Game statistics are from ESPN and RotoWire. Prices change constantly and are not forecasts by BetG8.
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- NFL MVP odds, live on Kalshi and Polymarket
- Super Bowl odds, live
- Kalshi vs Polymarket odds on every shared market
- Implied probability explained
- Odds converter
Frequently asked questions
What are Jordan Love's MVP odds after the Patriots game?
As of 08:54 UTC on November 9, 2026, Love was 10.8% on Polymarket and 14.5% on Kalshi to win NFL MVP, up from 2.8% and 3.5% before kickoff. The average converts to about +690.
Who is the NFL MVP favorite right now?
Joe Burrow leads at 28.4% on Polymarket and 28.5% on Kalshi, with Josh Allen second at 25.0% and 25.5%, on BetG8's live NFL MVP page.
Why is Love priced differently on Kalshi and Polymarket?
The two venues have separate order books and traders, and award markets are thin, so a fast repricing can leave a gap. The 3.7-point difference was the widest on the MVP board when read.
Sources
- ESPN, Packers 45, Patriots 27 box score
- RotoWire, Jordan Love: another prolific performance in win
- AP via U.S. News, Jordan Love accounts for 4 touchdowns, Packers force 4 turnovers
- BetG8, NFL MVP odds, live, read 08:54 UTC, November 9, 2026
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