Carrick sacked: Manchester United confirm his departure, and Polymarket keeps Pochettino near 95% as the next permanent manager
This morning our earlier report, Pochettino to Manchester United: a reported verbal agreement, described a story that was still unofficial: Carrick had taken training on Wednesday and the club had said nothing. That changed on Thursday. Sky Sports reported that Sir Jim Ratcliffe ratified the decision at a meeting in Monaco on the recommendation of chief executive Omar Berrada and director of football Jason Wilcox, and the club statement followed. Sky puts the cause plainly: one win in 10 Premier League matches, the club's worst start to a Premier League season, and three wins in 15 games in all competitions. United are 18th, in the relegation zone, according to Goal. Over his whole tenure, interim spell included, Carrick took charge of 32 games, winning 15, drawing 8 and losing 9, according to The Peoples Person via Yahoo Sports.
What the market is pricing
Polymarket order books from the public Gamma API, plus BetG8's live Premier League odds page, read at about 16:46 UTC on November 12:
| Market, 16:46 UTC Nov 12 | Bid | Ask | Last trade | 24h change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pochettino next permanent Man Utd manager | 90.3% | 99.7% | 99.0% | +8.0 pts |
| Pochettino leaves USMNT before 2027 Gold Cup | 93.0% | 95.0% | 95.0% | +0.5 pts |
| Manchester United relegated in 2026-27 | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | flat |
| Carrick out as Man Utd manager by Dec 31, 2026 | Resolved Yes, market closed | |||
The Pochettino contract has traded only about $1,600, so the 99% last trade says little; the wide 9.4-point spread is a better guide to how much uncertainty remains. The USMNT exit contract is similarly thin at about $1,800 traded. The relegation contract is deeper, at about $25,600, and has barely moved on the news. United's title price on BetG8's board is 0.7% on Polymarket and 1.0% on Kalshi. We did not find a Kalshi market on the next United manager.
What is confirmed and what is still reported
Confirmed by the club: Carrick has gone and a permanent successor will be appointed as quickly as possible. Reported but not confirmed: United's verbal agreement with Pochettino, which Sky Sports describes, and the release clause in his US Soccer contract, which Sky puts at £7m and Goal at around €9 million. Pochettino signed a contract running to 2030 and is expected to stay in charge of the USA for the CONCACAF Nations League games against Haiti on Saturday and Wednesday, according to Sky. The Peoples Person reports that Darren Fletcher was seen at Carrington and may hold some caretaker duties, but that is an observation, not an announcement.
Why the price is not at 100%
A next-manager contract only resolves when the club names its permanent head coach, and a verbal agreement is not a signed one. Compensation talks with US Soccer, the timing of Pochettino's release around the international window and the wording of what counts as a permanent appointment all add risk. United could also name an interim first and the permanent appointment later. How Polymarket settles contracts like these is explained in how prediction markets resolve.
What to watch next
Any statement from US Soccer on releasing Pochettino, who takes training at Carrington in the meantime, and United's trip to Liverpool on November 22, which Goal says could be the new coach's first match. A signed announcement would move the Pochettino contract to resolution; a stall in talks would appear first as a falling bid.
Method and limits
Prices are Polymarket order book bids, asks and last trades from the public Gamma API and BetG8's live Premier League page, read at about 16:46 UTC on November 12, 2026. Thin markets can show last trades far from fair value. Club facts come from the club statement as reported by Yahoo Sports, Sky Sports via MyJoyOnline, Goal and The Peoples Person. Prices are not forecasts by BetG8.
LIVE MARKETPro Football 2027 ChampionTrade on Polymarket →Related
- Premier League odds, live on Kalshi and Polymarket
- Earlier today: Pochettino verbal agreement before the sacking
- Manchester United relegation odds after the Villa 4-4
- How prediction markets resolve
Frequently asked questions
Has Manchester United sacked Michael Carrick?
Yes. On November 12, 2026, the club confirmed that Michael Carrick has departed his role as men's first-team head coach and said it will appoint a permanent successor as quickly as possible.
Who will be the next Manchester United manager?
No one has been appointed. Sky Sports reports a verbal agreement with Mauricio Pochettino, and Polymarket priced him at a 90.3% bid and 99.7% ask at about 16:46 UTC on November 12. These are market prices, not predictions.
What is Pochettino's release clause?
Reports differ: Sky Sports puts the clause in his US Soccer contract at £7m, while Goal says around €9 million. Neither figure has been confirmed by the club or US Soccer.
Sources
- Yahoo Sports, Manchester United have sacked Michael Carrick as official statement released
- Sky Sports via MyJoyOnline, Carrick sacked as Manchester United head coach
- Goal, Manchester United sack Michael Carrick with immediate effect
- The Peoples Person via Yahoo Sports, Manchester United sack Michael Carrick
- The Peoples Person, Fletcher at Carrington before Pochettino arrives
- Polymarket, EPL: Next Manchester United Manager, read 16:46 UTC, November 12, 2026
18+ only. This page reports market prices and published facts; it is not betting, financial or legal advice, and prices are not predictions. If gambling stops being fun, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER.