Brantford—Brant South By-Election Winner: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Joy O'Donnell at 78.5%, ahead of Person A at 50.0%. $4K traded across 30 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
CanadaPoliticsElectionsby electionMain Election
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Joy O'Donnell | 78.5% | +27.0 |
| Person A | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person B | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person C | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person D | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person E | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person F | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person G | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person H | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person I | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person J | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person K | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person L | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person M | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person N | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person O | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person P | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person Q | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person R | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person S | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person T | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person U | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person V | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person W | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person X | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person Y | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Other | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Kevin Davis | 18.5% | -9.5 |
| Dave Carroll | 10.5% | -8.5 |
| Brad Ward | 2.7% | -3.8 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
A by-election for the Canadian federal electoral district of Brantford—Brant South is currently scheduled to be held on December 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Brantford—Brant South by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/).
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Brantford—Brant South By-Election Winner"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Joy O'Donnell is the favorite at 78.5%, followed by Person A at 50.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on December 7, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $4K in total and $4K in the last 24 hours, with about $9K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.