Update: Pochettino is Manchester United's new manager and will leave the USMNT after the Haiti games, as Polymarket's market resolves Yes
This is an update to our coverage from Thursday, when a verbal agreement had been reported but nothing was official and Carrick was still taking training. That earlier piece, Pochettino to Manchester United, and our report on Carrick's sacking cover the run-up. Friday's announcements from the club and the federation settle the question both markets were asking.
What happened
United confirmed Pochettino, 54, as head coach following what Sky Sports describes as the worst start to a Premier League season in the club's history, with the team in the relegation zone after ten league matches. According to Sky, he was the unanimous recommendation of the club's football leadership and was approved by ownership after chief executive Omar Berrada and director of football Jason Wilcox met Sir Jim Ratcliffe in Monaco on Wednesday. Sky also reports that he was the only coach United spoke to directly and that the club must pay around £7.4 million to release him from his new US contract.
The club statement praised his "high-intensity, attacking style of football" and his record of developing players. Pochettino previously managed Tottenham, which he took to a League Cup final and a Champions League final, Chelsea, and Paris Saint-Germain, where he won Ligue 1 and the French Cup. He has not won a major trophy in England.
U.S. Soccer said Pochettino and his staff remain responsible for the current camp and will coach both Haiti games. Steve Cherundolo will lead the previously scheduled December camp, which will use a mostly MLS-based roster, and there will be no separate Under-23 camp in December. Chief executive JT Batson and chief operating officer Dan Helfrich will lead the search for a permanent successor with the federation's soccer leadership, including Emma Hayes and Oguchi Onyewu. Pochettino was appointed in September 2024 and leaves with a record of 21 wins, 12 losses and 2 draws in 35 matches. He led the team to the 2025 Gold Cup final and, at the home World Cup in 2026, to first place in its group and a place in the round of 16, with the first knockout-round win for the US since 2002.
What the market is pricing
Polymarket prices from the public Gamma API, read at about 17:00 UTC on November 13, 2026, compared with our earlier readings. We did not find a Kalshi market on the United job.
| Polymarket contract | Nov 12, 09:16 UTC | When Carrick was sacked | Nov 13, about 17:00 UTC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pochettino next permanent Man Utd manager | 96.5% (last trade) | about 85% | Closed, resolved Yes (last trade 99.1%) |
| Manchester United relegated in 2026-27 | 6.4% | n/a | 8.05% midpoint (bid 6.9%, ask 9.2%, last 6.5%) |
Two caveats. The next-manager market was thin, with about $2,450 traded across the whole event and about $1,900 on Pochettino, so its path from 85% to 100% shows direction more than conviction. The relegation contract is deeper, at about $17,000 traded, but its spread is wide: the midpoint has moved up from 6.4% on Thursday, while the last trade, at 6.5%, is almost unchanged. Read together, traders treat the appointment as settled and the relegation risk as real but small. BetG8's live Premier League odds board tracks the title market on both venues.
Why it matters
For United, the appointment ends a week of uncertainty but not the problem that caused it. A side in the bottom three after ten games needs points quickly, and the new coach gets little time with the squad: Sky reports he meets the club's leadership on Wednesday, takes his first session on Thursday when the players return from the international break, and has three training days before his first match. The January transfer window is likely to be the first real test of how much control he has over recruitment, a point former United captain Gary Neville has raised publicly.
For the US, the federation loses its coach a few months after a home World Cup that brought its first knockout-round win since 2002, and it now has to run a search during a quiet part of the international calendar. The two Haiti quarterfinal games are Pochettino's last in charge.
What to watch next
United's fixtures under Pochettino start hard: Liverpool away in the Premier League on Sunday, November 22, then Sporting away in the Champions League on November 25, Brentford at home on November 28, Newcastle away on December 2, Coventry at home on December 5 and RB Leipzig at home on December 8, according to Sky Sports. The relegation contract is the market to follow over that run, and our Manchester United topic page collects every live Polymarket market on the club. On the US side, watch the Haiti results on November 14 and 17 and the shortlist for the permanent job, where a market may open once candidates emerge. Our report on United's relegation odds after the Villa draw has the earlier price history.
Method and limits
Polymarket prices come from the public Gamma API. The resolved next-manager market shows its final state; the relegation price is the midpoint of the best bid and ask, with the last trade shown alongside because the spread is wide. Earlier readings are from BetG8's published coverage and the desk's filing on November 13. Contract and buyout details are as reported by Sky Sports and have not been published by the club. Nothing here is a forecast by BetG8.
LIVE MARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?Trade on Polymarket →Related
- Carrick sacked: next Manchester United manager odds
- Pochettino to Manchester United: the reported agreement
- Manchester United relegation odds after the Villa draw
- Premier League odds, live
- Manchester United prediction markets
Frequently asked questions
Who is the new Manchester United manager?
Mauricio Pochettino was appointed Manchester United head coach on November 13, 2026, on a contract running to the summer of 2029, according to Sky Sports. He replaces Michael Carrick, who was sacked a day earlier.
When does Pochettino leave the USMNT?
U.S. Soccer said Pochettino will leave after the current camp, which includes Concacaf Nations League quarterfinal games against Haiti on November 14 and 17, 2026. Steve Cherundolo will lead the December camp while the federation searches for a permanent replacement.
What are Manchester United's relegation odds?
At about 17:00 UTC on November 13, 2026, Polymarket's contract on United being relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League had a midpoint of about 8%, with a bid of 6.9%, an ask of 9.2% and a last trade of 6.5%. These are market prices, not predictions.
Sources
- Sky Sports, Mauricio Pochettino appointed as Manchester United head coach
- U.S. Soccer, Mauricio Pochettino to depart as head coach
- Polymarket, Next Manchester United manager and Premier League relegation markets, Gamma API read about 17:00 UTC
Market prices, not predictions or advice. 18+. This page reports market prices and published facts; it is not betting, financial or legal advice. If gambling stops being fun, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER.