College Football Playoff rankings tonight: a new No. 1 after Miami's loss, and unbeaten Utah and UCLA priced at 3.5% to win the title

This is a preview written before the release. BetG8 does not forecast the committee's order; the prices below are what traders were paying a few hours before it.
What the market is pricing
National championship prices from BetG8's live college football championship odds page, which showed "updated 2026-11-10 17:36 UTC" when read at 17:40 UTC. The first-rankings position is from the committee's November 3 release, as listed by NCAA.com.
| Team (first CFP rank, Nov 3) | Polymarket | Kalshi | PM minus Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia (No. 2) | 29.5% | 29.5% | +0.1 |
| Notre Dame (No. 11) | 18.5% | 18.5% | 0.0 |
| Alabama (No. 5) | 11.8% | 11.5% | +0.3 |
| Miami (No. 1) | 9.8% | 9.5% | +0.3 |
| Texas (No. 7) | 9.4% | 8.5% | +1.0 |
| Indiana (No. 4) | 8.3% | 8.5% | -0.1 |
| Utah (No. 3) | not listed | 3.5% | n/a |
| UCLA (No. 8) | not listed | 3.5% | n/a |
| Ohio State (No. 12) | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.0 |
Gaps are shown in percentage points as computed by the live page from unrounded prices. The two venues agree closely on the leaders; the largest gap in this group is a point on Texas.
Why there will be a new No. 1
Miami was 8-0 and ranked first when the committee published its initial top 25 on November 3, ahead of Georgia, Utah, Indiana and Alabama, according to NCAA.com. On Saturday, November 7, Notre Dame beat Miami 31-24 at Notre Dame Stadium. CJ Carr threw for 319 yards and three touchdowns without an interception, and Notre Dame had no turnovers to Miami's one, according to UHND's game page. Both teams are now 8-1.
Sports Illustrated expects Georgia, the reigning SEC champion, to move into the top spot after a 42-7 road win at Ole Miss, and notes that Notre Dame's case for No. 1 is limited by a thin list of other quality wins. That is one outlet's expectation, not a result. The market agrees on Georgia as title favorite, but a No. 1 ranking in November and a championship in January are different questions.
The unbeaten puzzle: Utah and UCLA
Utah and UCLA are both 9-0 and the only two undefeated teams, according to The Big Lead's rankings preview on Yahoo Sports. Utah beat rival BYU at home and intercepted Bear Bachmeier four times. Even so, Kalshi prices each at 3.5% to win the title, behind six teams with one or two losses, and Polymarket has no market for either team on our page. In the expanded playoff, being unbeaten in November guarantees neither a top seed nor a deep run, and the market is pricing the path through a 12-team bracket, not the current record. These prices could move sharply if the committee ranks either team near the top tonight.
What to watch next
The release at 9 p.m. ET (02:00 UTC on November 11). Watch where Georgia, Notre Dame and Utah land, whether UCLA climbs from No. 8, and how far Miami falls after its first loss. On the markets, rankings night is often when title prices reprice fastest, and the live page refreshes every five minutes. Also watch whether any gap between Polymarket and Kalshi opens during the release. NCAA.com says the committee publishes six rankings in all this season.
Method and limits
Prices come from BetG8's college football championship odds page, which reads the public Polymarket Gamma API and the Kalshi trade API every five minutes; the page was updated at 17:36 UTC and read at 17:40 UTC on November 10, 2026. "Not listed" means the team had no Polymarket market on that page at the time. Rankings and game facts come from NCAA.com, UHND, Sports Illustrated and Yahoo Sports. Prices are not forecasts, and this preview does not predict the committee's rankings.
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Frequently asked questions
What time do the College Football Playoff rankings come out tonight?
The second CFP rankings of 2026 are released on Tuesday, November 10, at 9 p.m. ET on ESPN, which is 02:00 UTC on November 11.
Who is favored to win the college football national championship?
At 17:40 UTC on November 10, 2026, Georgia led the title market at 29.5% on both Polymarket and Kalshi, ahead of Notre Dame at 18.5% and Alabama at about 11.5% to 11.8%.
Which college football teams are still unbeaten?
Utah and UCLA, both 9-0, after Miami lost 31-24 at Notre Dame on November 7. Kalshi priced each at 3.5% to win the national title.
Sources
- NCAA.com, Miami, Georgia lead first College Football Playoff rankings of 2026
- UHND, Notre Dame vs Miami (FL), 2026
- Sports Illustrated, When do new College Football Playoff rankings come out today?
- Yahoo Sports / The Big Lead, Predicting the College Football Playoff rankings
- BetG8, College football championship odds, live, read 17:40 UTC, November 10, 2026
18+ only. This page reports market prices and published facts; it is not betting, financial or legal advice, and prices are not predictions. If gambling stops being fun, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER.