Bitcoin price prediction odds, live: how high and how low traders price BTC this month and in 2026
Live · updated 2026-11-15 07:53 UTC · refreshes every 5 minutesHow high will Bitcoin go in November 2026
| Bitcoin hits | Polymarket | 24h change (pts) | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hits $67,500 or higher | 55.5% | – | -125 |
| Hits $70,000 or higher | 30.5% | -31.0 | +228 |
| Hits $72,500 or higher | 15.5% | -20.0 | +545 |
| Hits $75,000 or higher | 6.5% | -10.0 | +1438 |
| Hits $77,500 or higher | 4.7% | -3.9 | +2051 |
| Hits $80,000 or higher | 4.2% | -0.4 | +2310 |
| Hits $82,500 or higher | 3.4% | – | +2885 |
| Hits $85,000 or higher | 2.8% | +0.7 | +3536 |
| Hits $87,500 or higher | 2.0% | +1.0 | +4778 |
| Hits $90,000 or higher | 1.8% | +0.8 | +5305 |
| Hits $92,500 or higher | 1.5% | +0.7 | +6567 |
| Hits $95,000 or higher | 1.4% | +0.9 | +6797 |
How low will Bitcoin go in November 2026
| Bitcoin dips | Polymarket | 24h change (pts) | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dips to $60,000 or lower | 48.5% | +25.0 | +106 |
| Dips to $57,500 or lower | 33.0% | +19.0 | +203 |
| Dips to $55,000 or lower | 19.9% | +10.2 | +404 |
| Dips to $52,500 or lower | 11.5% | – | +770 |
How high will Bitcoin go in 2026
| Bitcoin hits | Polymarket | Kalshi | PM − Kalshi | Cheaper YES |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hits $90,000 or higher | 6.5% | – | – | – |
| Hits $95,000 or higher | 3.3% | – | – | – |
| Hits $100,000 or higher | 3.3% | 3.5% | -0.3 | – |
| Hits $110,000 or higher | 1.7% | 1.5% | +0.2 | – |
| Hits $120,000 or higher | 1.4% | 1.5% | -0.1 | – |
| Hits $130,000 or higher | 1.0% | 1.5% | -0.5 | – |
| Hits $140,000 or higher | 0.8% | 2.0% | -1.2 | Polymarket |
| Hits $150,000 or higher | 0.9% | 1.0% | -0.1 | – |
| Hits $200,000 or higher | 0.5% | 1.0% | -0.5 | Polymarket |
How low will Bitcoin go in 2026
| Bitcoin dips | Polymarket | 24h change (pts) | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dips to $60,000 or lower | 62.5% | +16.0 | -167 |
| Dips to $55,000 or lower | 34.5% | +13.0 | +190 |
| Dips to $50,000 or lower | 16.2% | +4.8 | +519 |
| Dips to $45,000 or lower | 8.2% | +1.8 | +1120 |
| Dips to $40,000 or lower | 5.8% | +1.8 | +1609 |
| Dips to $35,000 or lower | 2.8% | +0.6 | +3536 |
| Dips to $30,000 or lower | 2.5% | +0.3 | +3900 |
| Dips to $25,000 or lower | 1.6% | +0.2 | +6150 |
| Dips to $20,000 or lower | 1.5% | +0.1 | +6567 |
| Dips to $15,000 or lower | 1.7% | +0.5 | +5961 |
| Dips to $10,000 or lower | 0.9% | -0.4 | +10426 |
| Dips to $5,000 or lower | 0.5% | – | +18082 |
How to read the ladders
Polymarket lists Bitcoin price markets as a ladder of strikes. An upside row such as Hits $85,000 or higher pays $1 if Bitcoin trades at or above that level at any moment before the deadline, and a downside row such as Dips to $60,000 or lower pays if it trades at or below it. Because a touch at any point counts, these prices are higher than the chance of Bitcoin closing the period at that level. Prices are the midpoint of the best bid and best ask where the book is tight, and the last trade otherwise. The 24-hour change column shows how many percentage points each contract has moved in a day, which is the quickest way to see where traders are adding risk.
The yearly upside ladder also trades on Kalshi, so that table shows both venues side by side. The monthly ladders and the yearly downside ladder are only listed on Polymarket. Kalshi and Polymarket settle on different price sources and slightly different wording, so read the rules on each contract before comparing them closely.
What moves Bitcoin price odds
The near strikes react first. When Bitcoin falls toward a level, the contract for that level climbs quickly toward 100%, and the next level below starts to reprice. Three things have driven the biggest swings in 2026: flows into and out of the US spot Bitcoin ETFs, the path of interest rates, which BetG8 tracks on the live Fed rate decision odds page, and forced selling in leveraged futures, which shows up first in funding rates. A run of liquidations can push Bitcoin through several strikes in an hour, which is why the downside ladder often moves faster than the upside one.
Why touch odds are not a forecast
A market price is what the marginal trader is willing to pay, and it carries the same biases as any market: traders like cheap long shots, so far out strikes on both sides tend to trade above their fair value, and thin books can sit at stale prices for hours. Treat the ladder as a map of where the money is positioned, not as a prediction by BetG8. For the latest moves and the news behind them, see our prediction markets coverage.
Method and limits
Prices come straight from the public Polymarket Gamma API and the Kalshi trade API and refresh every five minutes; the time of the last refresh is shown at the top of the page. The monthly section switches automatically to the new month's market on the first day of each month. Strikes with prices below about half a percent are hidden. Nothing here is a forecast by BetG8: these are prices other people are paying. Crypto and prediction market contracts carry real financial risk, are restricted by age and location, and this page is not financial or legal advice.
Frequently asked questions
What is the Bitcoin price prediction for this month on Polymarket?
Polymarket does not publish a single forecast. It lists a contract for each price level, and the live table at the top of this page shows what traders are paying for Bitcoin to touch each level before the end of the month, on the upside and the downside.
Do the odds on this page add up to 100%?
No. Each price level is a separate yes or no contract, and Bitcoin can touch several levels in the same month, so the percentages are independent of each other and do not sum to 100%.
Where do these Bitcoin odds come from?
From the public Polymarket and Kalshi APIs, refreshed every five minutes. The yearly upside ladder trades on both venues; the monthly ladders and the yearly downside ladder are only listed on Polymarket.
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