Ohio State playoff chances after the Oregon loss: 38 straight points in Columbus and a 1.4% title price
Ohio State led 14-0 late in the first quarter on two Bo Jackson touchdown runs. Oregon then scored the next 38 points, helped by a fake punt on fourth-and-9 and a Devin Jackson interception, and won 41-28 in front of 103,551 at Ohio Stadium, the Associated Press reported. Both teams are now 6-3 and 4-2 in the Big Ten. Ohio State had lost 30-18 at USC a week earlier, and this is its first season with three or more losses since 2011, according to Yahoo Sports.
What the market is pricing
The title market had already marked Ohio State down after the USC loss, so most of the overnight movement was on Oregon. At 02:43 UTC, shortly after the final whistle, BetG8's newsroom read Oregon at 5.8% on Polymarket against 1.5% on Kalshi, an unusually wide 4.3-point gap between the two venues. By 08:49 UTC Polymarket had fallen to 1.7%, back in line with Kalshi. Ohio State eased from 2.5% to 1.4% on Polymarket and held at 1.0% on Kalshi.
| National title | Polymarket, 08:49 UTC | Kalshi, 08:49 UTC | 02:43 UTC read (PM / Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio State | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.5% / 1.0% |
| Oregon | 1.7% | 1.5% | 5.8% / 1.5% |
| Georgia (favourite) | 28.9% | 28.5% | not read |
BetG8's live page converts Ohio State's blended price to American odds of +8411. Every contender is on the college football championship odds page. A title price is not a playoff price: a team can reach the 12-team field and still be a long shot to win it, so these numbers understate Ohio State's chance of simply getting in. No make-the-playoff contract is tracked on BetG8, so this page does not put a number on that.
How Oregon came back
A 33-yard Gage Hurych field goal and a 9-yard Dierre Hill Jr. run cut the lead to 14-10, and a touchdown on the last play of the half put Oregon ahead 17-14. In the third quarter Hill broke a 48-yard run, Dakorien Moore made a one-handed 11-yard catch and Brandon Smith scored on a 15-yard screen to make it 38-14. Ohio State's two fourth-quarter touchdowns only narrowed the margin.
Both teams were on backup quarterbacks. Dylan Raiola went 25 of 40 for 257 yards and two touchdowns for Oregon, which lost Dante Moore to a season-ending concussion. Ohio State's Luke Fahey, in his second start since Julian Sayin was hurt on October 17, completed 36 of 50 for 360 yards with a touchdown and an interception. Jeremiah Smith caught seven passes for 133 yards.
Why the path is narrow
The AP counted three streaks that ended on Saturday: Ohio State's first back-to-back losses since 2011, its first consecutive losses to unranked opponents since October 1992, and the first time since 1988 that it allowed at least 30 points in consecutive defeats. Yahoo Sports added that the Buckeyes' 12-game home winning streak, the longest active run in the Big Ten, is over and that they are 4-5 against their last nine power conference opponents.
Oregon's trend runs the other way. The Ducks have won two straight after dropping two of three following Moore's injury. The title market still prices them below 2%, which tells you how much ground a three-loss team has to make up in a 12-team format that rewards conference champions and strong records.
What to watch next
Ohio State hosts Northwestern and Oregon hosts Michigan next Saturday. Before that, the CFP selection committee releases its next rankings on Tuesday, November 10, at 9 p.m. ET. Ohio State was No. 12 and Oregon No. 23 going into the weekend; how far the Buckeyes fall will shape whether their title price stays near 1%.
Method and limits
Title prices were read from BetG8's live college football page, which pulls Polymarket and Kalshi quotes, at 08:49 UTC on November 8, 2026; the earlier read is from BetG8's newsroom log at 02:43 UTC. Prices move with every trade and are market odds, not predictions. Game details come from the Associated Press via OPB and from Yahoo Sports. The two outlets list Ohio State at No. 11 and No. 12, reflecting different rankings.
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Frequently asked questions
What was the Oregon vs Ohio State score?
Oregon won 41-28 at Ohio Stadium on November 7, 2026. Ohio State led 14-0 late in the first quarter before Oregon scored 38 straight points.
What are Ohio State's playoff chances after the Oregon loss?
BetG8 does not track a make-the-playoff contract. In the national title market, Ohio State was 1.4% on Polymarket and 1.0% on Kalshi at 08:49 UTC on November 8. The next CFP rankings come out on November 10.
When did Ohio State last lose two games in a row?
In 2011. The losses at USC and at home to Oregon are the Buckeyes' first back-to-back defeats since then, according to the AP and Yahoo Sports.
Sources
- Associated Press via OPB, Oregon storms back from 2-touchdown deficit to hammer No. 11 Ohio State 41-28
- Yahoo Sports, Emboldened No. 23 Oregon dominates No. 12 Ohio State
- Atlanta Journal-Constitution, Georgia vs Ole Miss (CFP rankings schedule)
- BetG8, College football championship odds, live, read 08:49 UTC, November 8, 2026
18+ only. This page reports live market prices and game results from public sources. It is not betting, financial or investment advice. If gambling stops being fun, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER.