Commanders vs Giants score on Thursday Night Football: Washington wins 24-21 on a late Diggs touchdown, and the NFC East leader sits at 1.3% in the Super Bowl market
Our preview of the game had prediction markets pricing New York at about 55%, with the DraftKings spread at Giants -2.5. The result went the other way after a fourth quarter in which both teams had chances to close it out. Isaiah Likely's 66-yard touchdown catch put the Giants ahead 21-17 with 8:13 left. Daniels then threw his first two interceptions of the season, with 5:27 and 2:15 remaining, but New York went three-and-out after each one, according to the Giants' own game report. A 33-yard pass interference penalty moved Washington into range, and Diggs scored with 57 seconds left.
What the market is pricing
Super Bowl prices are from BetG8's live Super Bowl odds page, stamped 10:58 UTC on November 13. The game market figures are from the public Polymarket API, read at about 11:00 UTC. The earlier read is the one our sports desk took at 04:43 UTC, minutes after the final whistle.
| Market | Polymarket now | Kalshi now | 04:43 UTC read (PM / Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Super Bowl LXI: New York Giants | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% / 1.5% |
| Super Bowl LXI: Washington Commanders | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% / 1.0% |
| Super Bowl LXI: Dallas Cowboys | 0.9% | 1.5% | n/a |
| Super Bowl LXI: San Francisco 49ers | 14.1% | 15.5% | n/a |
| Game: Commanders to win (settled) | $1.00 | n/a | n/a |
Polymarket's moneyline market on the game closed at 04:36 UTC with the Commanders contract paying $1. It traded $4,893,268 in the 24 hours before our read and $4,985,870 in total; the whole event, including spread markets, shows about $8.2 million. The season-long prices barely reacted. New York slipped 0.1 points on Polymarket and did not move on Kalshi, and Washington's price is unchanged on both venues. A first-place team at 1.3% shows how little weight the market gives the NFC East lead on its own: Dallas, at 4-5, is priced almost level with New York. The live page converts the Giants' average price to about +7173 in American odds.
How the game turned
Daniels finished 23 of 33 for 249 yards with three touchdown passes, to Ben Sinnott, Antonio Williams and Diggs, plus the two interceptions, according to the Associated Press. Diggs had six catches for 83 yards, and the AP noted that the winning score was his 80th career touchdown reception, making him the 30th player to reach that mark.
New York outgained Washington 399 yards to 340. McCarthy threw for a career-high 293 yards in his first home start since arriving in a trade from Minnesota in late September, Likely had nine catches for 127 yards, and Cam Skattebo ran for 78 yards and two touchdowns. The margins were small: Dominic Zvada missed a 33-yard field goal in the first quarter of a game decided by three points, and Malik Nabers lost a fumble in the third. Washington, which came in with a league-low 31.1% conversion rate on third down, converted 7 of 14.
What it means for the NFC East
The Giants are still first at 5-3-1, but this was their first division loss, and Dallas is 4-5. Washington is 3-5-1, two games behind New York, and now holds the head-to-head tiebreaker because the teams tied when they met last month. The AP described the game as essentially a must-win for the Commanders. The win kept Washington in the race without changing its price: the Commanders are still 0.4% and 1.0%, level with Carolina on both venues.
What to watch next
Both teams get extra rest before home games. The Giants host Jacksonville on Sunday, November 22, in a game moved to a 4:25 p.m. kickoff; the Jaguars are 6-2 and priced at 12.3% on Polymarket and 10.5% on Kalshi to win the Super Bowl. Washington hosts Cincinnati on Monday, November 23, with the Bengals at 5.8% and 6.5%. On the injury front, Giants safety Jason Pinnock left in the third quarter with a back injury, and Commanders tight end Chig Okonkwo returned after a back problem. Venue gaps are tracked on our Kalshi vs Polymarket comparison.
Method and limits
Super Bowl prices come from BetG8's live page, which reads the public Polymarket Gamma API and Kalshi trade API every five minutes, stamped 10:58 UTC on November 13, 2026. Game volume and settlement are from the Polymarket Gamma API, read at about 11:00 UTC. Game details are from NFL.com, the Associated Press, the Giants' game report and Pro Football Talk. Sources differ on one detail: NFL.com's recap puts the Diggs touchdown at 49 seconds left, while the AP and the Giants say 57, which is the figure used here. The pregame spread is the one quoted in our preview. These are market prices, not predictions, and not forecasts by BetG8.
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Frequently asked questions
What was the Commanders vs Giants score on Thursday Night Football?
Washington won 24-21 at MetLife Stadium on November 12, 2026. The Giants are 5-3-1 and the Commanders are 3-5-1.
Who scored the winning touchdown in Commanders vs Giants?
Stefon Diggs caught a 32-yard touchdown pass from Jayden Daniels in the final minute. Rasul Douglas then intercepted J.J. McCarthy with 25 seconds left.
What are the Giants' Super Bowl odds after the loss?
At 10:58 UTC on November 13, 2026, New York was 1.3% on Polymarket and 1.5% on Kalshi to win Super Bowl LXI. These are market prices, not predictions.
Sources
- NFL.com, What we learned from Washington's 24-21 win
- Associated Press via WSLS, Jayden Daniels and Commanders rally to stun the Giants 24-21
- New York Giants, Instant analysis: Giants fall to Commanders, 24-21
- Pro Football Talk via Yahoo Sports, Stefon Diggs' late TD gives Commanders 24-21 win
- BetG8, Super Bowl odds, live, read 10:58 UTC, November 13, 2026
18+ only. This page reports market prices and published facts; it is not betting, financial or legal advice, and prices are not predictions. If gambling stops being fun, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER.