NFL playoff odds, live: every team's chance to make the 2026-27 postseason
Live · updated 2026-11-15 11:46 UTC · refreshes every 5 minutesWhich teams make the 2026-27 NFL playoffs
| Team | Polymarket | 24h change (pts) | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco 49ers | 97.7% | – | -4248 |
| Buffalo Bills | 97.3% | -1.2 | -3604 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 94.8% | +0.3 | -1842 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 93.5% | +4.0 | -1438 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 92.0% | +0.5 | -1150 |
| Denver Broncos | 92.0% | – | -1150 |
| Chicago Bears | 86.5% | – | -641 |
| Detroit Lions | 76.5% | +1.0 | -326 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 73.0% | -0.5 | -270 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 70.5% | – | -239 |
| New England Patriots | 65.1% | +1.7 | -186 |
| Green Bay Packers | 65.0% | – | -186 |
| New York Giants | 53.5% | +1.5 | -115 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 50.5% | -2.5 | -102 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 45.0% | +1.0 | +122 |
| Houston Texans | 39.5% | – | +153 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 37.5% | – | +167 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 32.5% | – | +208 |
| Carolina Panthers | 27.0% | -1.5 | +270 |
| Cleveland Browns | 24.5% | -0.1 | +308 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 19.5% | – | +413 |
| New Orleans Saints | 19.0% | – | +426 |
| Washington Commanders | 18.5% | -2.0 | +441 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 15.5% | -0.5 | +545 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 11.0% | -1.0 | +809 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 3.5% | +0.9 | +2799 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 2.4% | -0.1 | +4155 |
| New York Jets | 2.1% | – | +4778 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 2.0% | +0.1 | +4900 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 1.3% | -0.3 | +7900 |
| Tennessee Titans | 1.1% | +0.1 | +8596 |
| Miami Dolphins | 1.0% | – | +9424 |
How to read the table
Each row is one team's yes contract on Polymarket's Team to Make Postseason market. The price is the market's implied probability of that team reaching the playoffs, the odds column converts it to American odds, and the 24-hour column shows how far it moved in a day, which is where the biggest reactions to results and injuries show up first. Seven teams from each conference qualify: the four division winners and three wild cards.
What moves playoff odds
Results move these prices more than anything else, and the effect grows each week as the schedule shrinks. A starting quarterback's injury is the other big driver, as the Ravens' price showed after Lamar Jackson's thumb surgery. Teams near 50% are where a single game matters most. For who wins each division, see the NFL division odds page; for the title itself, the Super Bowl odds page; and for this week's games, NFL game odds.
Method and limits
Prices come straight from the public Polymarket Gamma API and refresh every five minutes; the time of the last refresh is shown at the top of the page. We use the midpoint of the best bid and best ask where the book is tight and the last trade otherwise. Nothing here is a forecast by BetG8: these are prices other people are paying. Prediction market contracts carry real financial risk, are restricted by age and location, and this page is not betting, financial or legal advice.
Frequently asked questions
How many teams make the NFL playoffs?
Fourteen: seven from each conference, made up of the four division winners and three wild-card teams with the best records.
When are NFL playoff spots decided?
Over the final weeks of the regular season, which ends with Week 18 in early January 2027. The markets on this page settle once the playoff field is set.
Where do these playoff odds come from?
From Polymarket's public API, refreshed every five minutes. Each team has its own yes or no contract on whether it makes the postseason.
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