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Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is Ulrich Siegmund at 71.0%, ahead of Candidate E at 50.0%. $513K traded across 35 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:05 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

71.0%
Ulrich Siegmund · Trade →

24h move

0.0
pts · 7d -1.0

Volume

$513K
24h $276 · liquidity $106K

Closes

June 1, 2027
207 days left

GermanyPoliticsElectionsMain ElectionSaxony-Anhalt

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
Ulrich Siegmund71.0% 0.0-1.0$394K2.0¢
Candidate E50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate F50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate G50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate H50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate I50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate J50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate K50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate L50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate M50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate N50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate O50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate P50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate Q50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate R50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate S50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate T50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate U50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate V50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate W50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate X50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate Y50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate Z50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Other50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Sepp Müller2.2% 0.0+0.1$5K3.0¢
Sven Schulze1.6% 0.0-0.3$88K0.3¢
Claudia Wittig1.0% 0.0+0.1$4K1.8¢
Eva von Angern0.4% 0.00.0$3K0.9¢
Armin Willingmann0.4% 0.00.0$4K0.7¢
Lydia Hüskens0.1% 0.0+0.1$2K0.3¢
Susan Sziborra-Seidlitz0.1% 0.00.0$3K0.2¢
Thomas Schulze0.1% 0.00.0$3K0.2¢
Franziska Weidinger0.1% 0.00.0$3K0.2¢
André Schröder0.1% 0.00.0$1K0.1¢
Tamara Zieschang0.1% 0.00.0$2K0.1¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:05 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%08-1209-2411-06
Ulrich Siegmund

Market rules and resolution

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Chief Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chief Minister takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Ulrich Siegmund at 71% risks 71¢ to win 29¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?"?
As of November 6, 2026, Ulrich Siegmund is the favorite at 71.0%, followed by Candidate E at 50.0%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on June 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$513K in total and $276 in the last 24 hours, with about $106K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.