Minnesota Wild Stanley Cup odds: Polymarket prices the Central leaders at 7.25% and Kalshi near 5.5% after Kaprizov's overtime winner
Kaprizov's winner was his 17th goal of the season, second in the NHL according to CBS Sports, and it came on a one-timer after Cole Caufield was called for slashing late in regulation, ESPN reported. Bobby Brink had opened the scoring on a third-period breakaway before Nick Suzuki tied it with the Montreal goalie pulled. Jesper Wallstedt made 27 saves. The result extended the Wild's point streak to nine games, per CBS Sports, and Montreal still took a point for an 11th straight game without a regulation loss (8-0-3), per NHL.com. Minnesota plays at Toronto tonight.
What the market is pricing
2027 Stanley Cup prices for the Wild and the teams around them, as midpoints of the best bid and ask:
| Team | Polymarket | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|
| Carolina Hurricanes | 12.5% | 8.5% |
| Edmonton Oilers | 11.5% | 7.5% |
| Colorado Avalanche | 9.5% | 11.5% |
| Vegas Golden Knights | 7.5% | 6.5% |
| Minnesota Wild | 7.25% | 5.5% |
| New Jersey Devils | 6.8% | 3.5% |
Polymarket prices were read at 16:46 to 16:50 UTC and Kalshi prices at about 16:50 UTC on November 12. The two venues disagree on the order at the top: Polymarket has Carolina first, while Kalshi has Colorado first. For the Wild, Polymarket is about 1.75 points above Kalshi. Kalshi's Wild contract had a one-cent spread between bid and ask and last traded at 4 cents, so a single trade can move the quoted price by a point or more. Polymarket's Wild market was tighter, with a bid of 7.2 cents and an ask of 7.3. The full board, refreshed every five minutes, is on BetG8's live Stanley Cup odds page.
Why the price stays in single digits
A Stanley Cup futures price compresses an entire season and four playoff rounds into one number, so even the best regular-season team in a conference rarely trades far above 10% in November. Minnesota's underlying numbers support its place near the top: the Wild allow a league-low 2.2 goals per game and convert 26.8% of their power plays, according to CBS Sports. The same preview lists goalie Filip Gustavsson (hip) and defenseman Brock Faber as not expected to play Thursday, and depth of that kind is part of what a long-horizon market has to price.
Why the venues differ
Kalshi and Polymarket run separate order books with different participants, fees and liquidity, and long-dated futures on smaller teams tend to have wider spreads and fewer trades than marquee markets. Differences of one to four points between the venues on Cup contracts are common this early. They are not by themselves a sign that either venue is wrong, and arbitrage between the two is limited by fees, capital lockup until June and access rules. Our Kalshi vs Polymarket comparison tracks the largest gaps across sports.
What to watch next
Tonight's game at Toronto, where the Maple Leafs have lost four straight according to CBS Sports, and the return dates for Gustavsson and Faber. In the market, watch whether Kalshi's Wild contract trades back toward Polymarket's level as volume builds, and whether a longer run at the top of the Central lifts Minnesota above Vegas and Colorado on both boards.
Method and limits
Kalshi prices come from its public trade API for event KXNHL-27 (2026-27 Stanley Cup Finals Winner). Polymarket prices for the Wild, Carolina, Colorado and Edmonton come from its public Gamma API ("NHL: 2027 Champion"); Vegas and New Jersey Polymarket prices come from BetG8's live page read at 16:46 UTC. Game details are as reported by ESPN, NHL.com and CBS Sports, which differ slightly on the exact overtime time. Prices are not forecasts, and nothing here is betting advice. For how these contracts settle, see how prediction markets resolve.
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Frequently asked questions
What are the Minnesota Wild's Stanley Cup odds?
At about 16:50 UTC on November 12, 2026, Polymarket priced a Wild 2027 Stanley Cup win at 7.25% and Kalshi at about 5.5%. These are market prices, not predictions.
Who is the Stanley Cup favorite?
It depends on the venue. Polymarket had Carolina first at 12.5%, while Kalshi had Colorado first at 11.5%, at the November 12 read.
What is the Wild's record?
After the 2-1 overtime win at Montreal on November 10, the Wild were 13-3-4 with 30 points and first in the Central Division, according to ESPN.
Sources
- ESPN, Wild 2, Canadiens 1 (OT) recap
- NHL.com, MIN at MTL game recap, November 10, 2026
- CBS Sports, Wild at Maple Leafs preview, November 12, 2026
- Kalshi, 2026-27 Stanley Cup Finals Winner, read about 16:50 UTC, November 12, 2026
- Polymarket, NHL: 2027 Champion, read about 16:50 UTC, November 12, 2026
18+ only. This page reports market prices and published facts; it is not betting, financial or legal advice, and prices are not predictions. If gambling stops being fun, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER.