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Live market data

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is Jon Ossoff at 26.5%, ahead of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 17.1%. $1.31B traded across 56 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

26.5%
Jon Ossoff · Trade →

24h move

+0.1
pts · 7d +10.9

Volume

$1.31B
24h $1.8M · liquidity $64.0M

Closes

November 8, 2028
733 days left

United StatesElectionsPoliticsUS ElectionWorld Elections

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
Jon Ossoff26.5% +0.1+10.9$14.6M0.1¢
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17.1% +2.9+0.4$15.9M0.1¢
Gavin Newsom12.7% -1.4-3.9$28.2M0.3¢
Josh Shapiro4.5% -0.9-0.5$10.6M0.1¢
Kamala Harris4.3% -0.5-0.9$14.7M0.1¢
Pete Buttigieg4.3% -0.4-0.8$12.3M0.2¢
Andy Beshear3.8% +0.4+0.2$13.7M0.4¢
James Talarico2.8% -1.1+0.4$11.9M0.2¢
Raphael Warnock2.4% -0.3+0.5$34.5M0.1¢
Wes Moore2.1% +0.5+0.1$18.7M0.5¢
Mark Kelly1.9% -0.4+0.1$18.2M0.1¢
Ro Khanna1.5% +0.1-0.3$11.7M0.2¢
J.B. Pritzker1.4% 0.0-0.1$15.9M0.1¢
Rahm Emanuel1.3% -0.1-0.4$14.8M0.1¢
Chelsea Clinton0.9% -0.2-0.4$51.1M0.1¢
Gretchen Whitmer0.7% 0.0+0.1$12.2M0.1¢
Michelle Obama0.6% 0.0+0.1$26.8M0.2¢
Cory Booker0.5% 0.0-0.2$26.8M0.1¢
Roy Cooper0.5% -0.1+0.2$32.5M0.1¢
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson0.5% -0.4-0.7$12.6M0.3¢
Bernie Sanders0.4% -0.2-0.9$52.9M0.1¢
Chris Van Hollen0.4% +0.2+0.2$2.5M0.3¢
Ruben Gallego0.4% -0.1+0.1$9.3M0.2¢
Abdul El-Sayed0.4% 0.00.0$380K0.4¢
Jon Stewart0.4% -0.2-0.2$24.9M0.1¢
Adam Hamilton0.4% +0.10.0$828K0.1¢
Mark Cuban0.3% 0.00.0$23.9M0.1¢
Hillary Clinton0.3% 0.00.0$44.4M0.1¢
Chris Murphy0.3% 0.0-0.1$17.7M0.1¢
Stephen A. Smith0.1% 0.00.0$23.5M0.1¢
Gina Raimondo0.1% -0.10.0$36.2M0.1¢
Zohran Mamdani0.1% 0.00.0$39.1M0.1¢
Jared Polis0.1% 0.00.0$27.6M0.1¢
Barack Obama0.1% 0.0-0.1$34.5M0.1¢
Phil Murphy0.1% +0.10.0$43.0M0.1¢
Hunter Biden0.1% -0.1-0.1$44.9M0.1¢
Jasmine Crockett0.1% 0.0-0.1$36.5M0.1¢
Abigail Spanberger0.1% 0.00.0$3.2M0.1¢
Hakeem Jeffries0.1% 0.00.0$2.6M0.1¢
Elissa Slotkin0.1% 0.00.0$1.8M0.1¢
Josh Stein0.1% 0.00.0$2.7M0.1¢
Mitch Landrieu0.1% 0.00.0$1.4M0.1¢
Tim Walz0.1% 0.00.0$44.3M0.1¢
John Fetterman0.1% 0.00.0$26.1M0.1¢
Liz Cheney0.1% -0.10.0$39.0M0.1¢
LeBron James0.1% 0.0-0.1$44.4M0.1¢
George Clooney0.1% 0.00.0$43.9M0.1¢
MrBeast0.1% 0.00.0$41.3M0.1¢
Oprah Winfrey0.1% 0.00.0$54.6M0.1¢
Andrew Yang0.1% 0.00.0$49.3M0.1¢
Beto O’Rourke0.1% 0.00.0$43.1M0.1¢
Kim Kardashian0.1% 0.00.0$43.0M0.1¢
Graham Platner0.1% 0.00.0$8.7M0.1¢
Adam Schiff0.1% 0.00.0$717K0.1¢
Alex Padilla0.1% 0.00.0$1.1M0.1¢
Scott Colom0.1% 0.00.0$3K0.1¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%07-1903-1311-06
Jon OssoffAlexandria Ocasio-CortezGavin NewsomJosh Shapiro

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Jon Ossoff at 26% risks 26¢ to win 74¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028"?
As of November 6, 2026, Jon Ossoff is the favorite at 26.5%, followed by Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 17.1%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on November 8, 2028. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$1.31B in total and $1.8M in the last 24 hours, with about $64.0M of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.