What are the odds on Elon Musk right now?

The most traded live market is "Elon Musk # tweets October 30 - November 6, 2026?", where 280-299 is priced at 69.0% as of November 6, 2026. 37 live markets mention Elon Musk.

How do I bet on Elon Musk?

These are prediction market contracts, not sportsbook bets. Each pays $1 if the outcome happens. Access depends on your location; see the market page and our legality guides before trading.

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Live market data

Elon Musk: live prediction market odds

Every active Polymarket market mentioning Elon Musk, ranked by activity, plus how recent ones resolved.

Updated 2026-11-06 01:43 UTC · Source: Polymarket search · 18+

Live markets

mentioning Elon Musk

Total volume

$12.4M

across live markets

Most traded

69%

280-299 in "Elon Musk # tweets October 30 - November 6, 2026?"

Live markets about Elon Musk

Market	Favorite	Price	24h	Volume
Elon Musk # tweets October 30 - November 6, 2026? closes November 6, 2026	280-299	69.0%	+48.4	$2.3M
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? closes January 2, 2027	SpaceX	81.5%	+10.0	$7.6M
Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…? closes January 1, 2028	December 31, 2027	60.5%	-6.5	$93K
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15? closes July 1, 2027	November 30, 2026	94.0%	+5.0	$66K
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by ___? closes January 1, 2028	December 31, 2027	43.0%	-1.0	$44K
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...? closes January 1, 2028	December 31, 2027	68.5%	-2.0	$1.7M
1 million American kids get SpaceX shares by December 31, 2027? closes January 1, 2028	Yes	74.5%	+35.0	$2K
Elon Musk meets with Putin by...? closes April 1, 2027	March 31	15.5%	+2.5	$5K
Elon Musk Net Worth on November 30? closes December 1, 2026	$800-$900B	38.5%	+7.5	$2K
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	4.0%	-7.0	$13K
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	2.3%	+0.6	$19K
Grok 5 released by...? closes January 1, 2027	December 31	11.0%	+1.0	$28K
AI data center in space by...? closes January 1, 2028	December 31, 2027	18.5%	-1.5	$73K
X banned in any European country by December 31? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	11.0%	-0.5	$14K
How many Tesla deliveries in Q4 2026? closes March 1, 2027	400k to 425k	21.6%	-3.0	$16K
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	23.5%	-10.5	$71K
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	33.5%	+4.0	$124K
How many SpaceX launches in November 2026? closes December 1, 2026	<13	94.0%	+0.5	$932
Tesla Roadster delivered by...? closes January 1, 2028	December 31, 2027	9.0%	0.0	$10K
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028? closes January 1, 2028	Yes	77.0%	0.0	$1K
3rd richest person on December 31? closes January 3, 2027	Bernard Arnault	44.9%	-0.1	$29K
Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by...? closes January 1, 2027	December 31	6.0%	-5.0	$31K
2nd richest person on December 31? closes January 3, 2027	Jeff Bezos	58.7%	+10.3	$50K
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	8.0%	0.0	$33K
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 by...? closes April 1, 2027	March 31, 2027	50.0%	0.0	$31K
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap? closes January 1, 2028	SpaceX	83.6%	+2.1	$13K
SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…? closes July 1, 2027	June 30, 2027	89.5%	-0.1	$13K
Elon Bull Run Combo closes January 2, 2027	Yes	2.5%	0.0	$13K
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	3.8%	+0.1	$12K
Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	2.5%	0.0	$10K
Will Elon register any party before 2027? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	5.5%	+0.5	$7K
Will Tesla perform another live stunt with the Roadster by...? closes May 1, 2027	April 30, 2027	31.0%	+0.5	$5K
Another Elon baby by December 31? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	10.8%	+0.1	$1K
T-Mobile US & SpaceX merger/acquisition announced in 2026? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	7.5%	-1.0	$926
Elon Musk out as Project Meridian co-lead by January 27? closes January 28, 2027	Yes	55.0%	-1.0	$108
Will any state ban the flying Tesla Roadster from public roads by December 31, 2028? closes January 1, 2029	Yes	33.0%	-1.0	$35
Will any state legalize flying the Tesla Roadster by December 31, 2028? closes January 1, 2029	Yes	13.0%	0.0	$10

Recently resolved

Market	Result	Volume
Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025? December 31, 2025	Yes	$7.3M
Elon Musk # tweets September 23 - September 30, 2025? September 30, 2025	120-139	$3.9M
Elon Musk # of tweets September 5-12? September 12, 2025	220–239	$6.3M
Elon Musk # of tweets August 29 - September 5? September 5, 2025	400+	$5.9M
Elon Musk # of tweets August 22-29? August 29, 2025	195–209	$7.0M
Elon Musk # of tweets August 15-22? August 22, 2025	<250	$5.7M
Elon Musk # of tweets August 8-15? August 15, 2025	470+	$5.3M
Elon Musk # of tweets August 1-8? August 8, 2025	255+	$6.4M
Elon Musk # of tweets August 1-8? (Higher Brackets) August 8, 2025	360–374	$4.4M
Elon Musk # of tweets July 25 - August 1? August 1, 2025	150–164	$8.2M
Elon Musk # of tweets July 18-25? July 25, 2025	195–209	$6.7M
Elon Musk # of tweets July 11-18? July 18, 2025	180–194	$7.1M

About this page

Musk markets: tweets, politics, SpaceX and Tesla milestones. Prices come from Polymarket and read as probabilities. They are set by traders, move with news, and are not forecasts by BetG8. Each market page carries the full rules, a price chart and volume.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the odds on Elon Musk right now?: The most traded live market is "Elon Musk # tweets October 30 - November 6, 2026?", where 280-299 is priced at 69.0% as of November 6, 2026. 37 live markets mention Elon Musk.
How do I bet on Elon Musk?: These are prediction market contracts, not sportsbook bets. Each pays $1 if the outcome happens. Access depends on your location; see the market page and our legality guides before trading.