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Home / Markets / Elon Musk # of tweets August 29 - September 5?
Resolved market scorecard

Elon Musk # of tweets August 29 - September 5? : result and scorecard

Resolved 400+. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 98.8%; a week before, –. $5.9M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

400+
resolved September 4, 2025

Price 1 day before

98.8%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

–
30 days before: –

Volume

$5.9M
22 outcomes

Tweet MarketsCultureElon Musk

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
400+WON$489K
385–399LOST$621K
370–384LOST$602K
340–354LOST$384K
355–369LOST$371K
310–324LOST$340K
295–309LOST$299K
325–339LOST$297K
265–279LOST$283K
190–204LOST$231K
235–249LOST$226K
280–294LOST$226K
250–264LOST$215K
205–219LOST$192K
220–234LOST$186K
160–174LOST$184K
175–189LOST$155K
100–114LOST$130K
145–159LOST$129K
130–144LOST$126K
<100LOST$123K
115–129LOST$112K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%08-3009-0109-04
400+385–399370–384340–354
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 99% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between August 29, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and September 5, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Elon Musk # of tweets August 29 - September 5? " resolve?
It resolved 400+ around September 5, 2025.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 98.8% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$5.9M across 22 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.