LIVE Hyperliquid whale tracker: the largest open positions and what they are doing, updated every few minutes →
Home / Markets / Elon Musk # of tweets July 25 - August 1?
Resolved market scorecard

Elon Musk # of tweets July 25 - August 1?: result and scorecard

Resolved 150–164. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 49.5%; a week before, 13.5%. $8.2M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

150–164
resolved August 1, 2025

Price 1 day before

49.5%
Market was a coin flip

Price 7 days before

13.5%
30 days before: –

Volume

$8.2M
13 outcomes

Tweet MarketsPoliticsElon MuskCulture

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
150–164WON$703K
120–134LOST$849K
135–149LOST$821K
180–194LOST$808K
165–179LOST$752K
90–104LOST$608K
195–209LOST$605K
<90LOST$576K
105–119LOST$549K
240–254LOST$526K
210–224LOST$511K
225–239LOST$486K
255+LOST$400K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%07-2607-2908-01
150–164120–134135–149180–194
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 50% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between July 18, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and July 25, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Elon Musk # of tweets July 25 - August 1?" resolve?
It resolved 150–164 around August 1, 2025.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 49.5% one day before close, 13.5% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$8.2M across 13 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.