What are the odds that SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?

As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 77.0% and No at 23.0%, on $1K of total volume.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2028. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$1K in total and $5 in the last 24 hours, with about $4K of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?

Live market data

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?: live odds and probabilities

Name: SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Polymarket traders currently price Yes at 77.0% (0.0 pts in 24h). $1K has traded on this market.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Yes probability

77.0%

No 23.0% · Trade →

24h move

0.0

pts · 7d 0.0

Volume

$1K

24h $5 · liquidity $4K

Closes

January 1, 2028

421 days left

Business Tech SpaceX Elon Musk Science

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
Yes	77.0%	0.0	0.0	$1K	10.0¢
No	23.0%	0.0	0.0	$1K	–

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

Yes

Market rules and resolution

On February 28, Elon Musk posted that it was likely Starship would become fully reusable in 2025. You can see the X post here: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1895598258225106984 This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX or Elon Musk announces that Starship is fully reusable by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note, this market refers to the Starship upper stage and does not require reusability for the Super-Heavy booster. For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is not necessary that an actual reuse occur, only that SpaceX or Elon Musk announces that Starship is fully reusable by this market's resolution date. The resolution source for this market is announcements by Elon Musk and SpaceX, or their official representatives.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Yes at 77% risks 77¢ to win 23¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds that SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?: As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 77.0% and No at 23.0%, on $1K of total volume.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2028. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $1K in total and $5 in the last 24 hours, with about $4K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.