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Home / Markets / Elon Musk # of tweets August 15-22?
Resolved market scorecard

Elon Musk # of tweets August 15-22? : result and scorecard

Resolved <250. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 52.4%; a week before, 6.5%. $5.7M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

<250
resolved August 22, 2025

Price 1 day before

52.4%
Market was a coin flip

Price 7 days before

6.5%
30 days before: –

Volume

$5.7M
18 outcomes

Tweet MarketsElon MuskCulturePolitics

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
<250WON$954K
250–274LOST$534K
275–299LOST$488K
300–324LOST$379K
375–399LOST$293K
325–349LOST$287K
650+LOST$278K
425–449LOST$273K
475–499LOST$272K
450–474LOST$264K
350–374LOST$262K
625–649LOST$241K
575–599LOST$227K
600–624LOST$225K
400–424LOST$213K
500–524LOST$193K
525–549LOST$186K
550–574LOST$173K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%08-1608-1908-22
<250250–274275–299300–324
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 52% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between August 15, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and August 22, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Elon Musk # of tweets August 15-22? " resolve?
It resolved <250 around August 22, 2025.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 52.4% one day before close, 6.5% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$5.7M across 18 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.