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AI data center in space by...?: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is December 31, 2027 at 18.5%, ahead of December 31, 2026 at 1.4%. $73K traded across 2 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:17 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

18.5%
December 31, 2027 · Trade →

24h move

-1.5
pts · 7d -6.5

Volume

$73K
24h $441 · liquidity $47K

Closes

January 1, 2028
421 days left

TechWeatherBig TechSpaceXElon Musk

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
December 31, 202718.5% -1.5-6.5$40K1.0¢
December 31, 20261.4% 0.0-0.9$33K0.5¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:17 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%05-1508-1011-06
December 31, 2027December 31, 2026

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any orbital data center is successfully launched by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Orbital data center” refers to any spacecraft, satellite, or equivalent technology carrying computing infrastructure that is launched into Earth’s orbit for the purpose of providing data-center, cloud-computing, or artificial intelligence computing services and which includes at least 100 data-center-grade AI accelerators, GPUs, TPUs, or substantially equivalent compute processors, (e.g. NVIDIA H100 GPUs, Google TPUs, or equivalent or successor chips). “Successfully launched” refers to any launch which successfully places a qualifying orbital data center into Earth’s orbit. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying December 31, 2027 at 19% risks 19¢ to win 82¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "AI data center in space by...?"?
As of November 6, 2026, December 31, 2027 is the favorite at 18.5%, followed by December 31, 2026 at 1.4%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2028. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$73K in total and $441 in the last 24 hours, with about $47K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.