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Home / Markets / Elon Musk # of tweets August 1-8?
Resolved market scorecard

Elon Musk # of tweets August 1-8?: result and scorecard

Resolved 255+. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 96.0%; a week before, –. $6.4M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

255+
resolved August 6, 2025

Price 1 day before

96.0%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

–
30 days before: –

Volume

$6.4M
13 outcomes

Elon MuskPoliticsCultureTweet Markets

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
255+WON$1.1M
240–254LOST$824K
225–239LOST$607K
165–179LOST$480K
150–164LOST$479K
210–224LOST$467K
195–209LOST$446K
180–194LOST$430K
<90LOST$383K
135–149LOST$333K
120–134LOST$333K
90–104LOST$292K
105–119LOST$258K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%08-0208-0408-06
255+240–254225–239165–179
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 96% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between August 1, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and August 8, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Elon Musk # of tweets August 1-8?" resolve?
It resolved 255+ around August 8, 2025.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 96.0% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$6.4M across 13 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.