Who is favored in "How many SpaceX launches in November 2026?"?

As of November 6, 2026, <13 is the favorite at 91.5%, followed by 13 at 7.6%.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on December 1, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$932 in total and $21 in the last 24 hours, with about $13K of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / How many SpaceX launches in November 2026?

Live market data

How many SpaceX launches in November 2026?: live odds and probabilities

Name: How many SpaceX launches in November 2026? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

The market favorite is <13 at 91.5%, ahead of 13 at 7.6%. $932 traded across 5 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

91.5%

<13 · Trade →

24h move

-2.0

pts · 7d 0.0

Volume

$932

24h $21 · liquidity $13K

Closes

December 1, 2026

25 days left

Tech SpaceX Science Elon Musk Recurring

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	Volume	Spread
<13	91.5%	-2.0	$321	13.0¢
13	7.6%	+1.3	$135	14.6¢
16+	3.7%	+0.6	$182	6.8¢
15	3.6%	0.0	$141	6.6¢
14	3.2%	0.0	$152	5.6¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

<131316+15

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between November 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches. In the case of missing or erroneous data from spacex.com, this market will remain open until December 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, to allow for updates. If spacex.com has not updated by December 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to a consensus of credible reporting.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying <13 at 92% risks 92¢ to win 8¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "How many SpaceX launches in November 2026?"?: As of November 6, 2026, <13 is the favorite at 91.5%, followed by 13 at 7.6%.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on December 1, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $932 in total and $21 in the last 24 hours, with about $13K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Related on BetG8

Largest Company end of December 2026?GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?AI bubble burst by...?Largest Company end of November 2026?Which company has best AI model end of 2026?GPT Astra 6.1+ released on...?Which company has the best AI model end of November?Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by...?All live markets Markets resolving this week Prediction market scorecard

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.