LIVE Hyperliquid whale tracker: the largest open positions and what they are doing, updated every few minutes →
Home / Markets / Elon Musk # tweets September 23 - September 30, 2025?
Resolved market scorecard

Elon Musk # tweets September 23 - September 30, 2025?: result and scorecard

Resolved 120-139. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 43.5%; a week before, 7.7%. $3.9M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

120-139
resolved September 30, 2025

Price 1 day before

43.5%
Market was a coin flip

Price 7 days before

7.7%
30 days before: –

Volume

$3.9M
30 outcomes

CulturePoliticsTweet MarketsElon Musk

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
120-139WON$250K
100-119LOST$338K
140-159LOST$268K
160-179LOST$258K
60-79LOST$251K
220-239LOST$248K
240-259LOST$244K
200-219LOST$190K
180-199LOST$167K
40-59LOST$158K
80-99LOST$135K
260-279LOST$127K
320-339LOST$104K
300-319LOST$103K
280-299LOST$102K
360-379LOST$87K
400-419LOST$86K
460-479LOST$83K
440-459LOST$82K
340-359LOST$81K
380-399LOST$76K
420-439LOST$70K
480-499LOST$70K
520-539LOST$66K
500-519LOST$64K
560-579LOST$63K
<20LOST$55K
580+LOST$40K
20-39LOST$37K
540-559LOST$36K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%09-2009-2509-30
120-139100-119140-159160-179
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 44% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 23 12:00 PM ET to September 30, 2025 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Elon Musk # tweets September 23 - September 30, 2025?" resolve?
It resolved 120-139 around September 30, 2025.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 43.5% one day before close, 7.7% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$3.9M across 30 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.