LIVE Hyperliquid whale tracker: the largest open positions and what they are doing, updated every few minutes →
Home / Markets / Elon Musk # of tweets August 22-29?
Resolved market scorecard

Elon Musk # of tweets August 22-29? : result and scorecard

Resolved 195–209. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 9.5%; a week before, 9.5%. $7.0M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

195–209
resolved August 29, 2025

Price 1 day before

9.5%
Market was confident and wrong

Price 7 days before

9.5%
30 days before: –

Volume

$7.0M
22 outcomes

Tweet MarketsElon MuskCulture

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
195–209WON$567K
150–164LOST$764K
<150LOST$624K
180–194LOST$528K
165–179LOST$482K
210–224LOST$406K
450+LOST$303K
225–239LOST$303K
300–314LOST$279K
240–254LOST$239K
255–269LOST$238K
315–329LOST$237K
270–284LOST$235K
435–449LOST$234K
330–344LOST$206K
420–434LOST$202K
285–299LOST$195K
345–359LOST$193K
390–404LOST$191K
360–374LOST$188K
405–419LOST$181K
375–389LOST$170K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%08-2308-2709-01
195–209150–164<150180–194
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 10% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between August 22, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and August 29, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Elon Musk # of tweets August 22-29? " resolve?
It resolved 195–209 around August 29, 2025.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 9.5% one day before close, 9.5% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$7.0M across 22 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.