What are the odds that Another Elon baby by December 31?

As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 10.8% and No at 89.1%, on $1K of total volume.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$1K in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $257 of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / Another Elon baby by December 31?

Live market data

Another Elon baby by December 31?: live odds and probabilities

Name: Another Elon baby by December 31? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Polymarket traders currently price Yes at 10.8% (+0.1 pts in 24h). $1K has traded on this market.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Yes probability

10.8%

No 89.1% · Trade →

24h move

+0.1

pts · 7d -0.4

Volume

$1K

24h $0 · liquidity $257

Closes

January 1, 2027

56 days left

Tech Culture Elon Musk Celebrities Recurring

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
Yes	10.8%	+0.1	-0.4	$1K	16.3¢
No	89.1%	-0.1	+0.4	$1K	–

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

Yes

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the existence of another Elon Musk child is confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any child explicitly claimed by Elon Musk or confirmed to be his child by a consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Qualifying announcements of a pregnancy will count. The resolution source for this market will be information from Elon Musk and a consensus of credible reporting.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Yes at 11% risks 11¢ to win 89¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds that Another Elon baby by December 31?: As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 10.8% and No at 89.1%, on $1K of total volume.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $1K in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $257 of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.