Who is favored in "Elon Musk # tweets October 30 - November 6, 2026?"?

As of November 6, 2026, 280-299 is the favorite at 70.3%, followed by 300-319 at 19.5%.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on November 6, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$2.4M in total and $595K in the last 24 hours, with about $384K of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / Elon Musk # tweets October 30 - November 6, 2026?

Live market data

Elon Musk # tweets October 30 - November 6, 2026?: live odds and probabilities

Name: Elon Musk # tweets October 30 - November 6, 2026? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

The market favorite is 280-299 at 70.3%, ahead of 300-319 at 19.5%. $2.4M traded across 17 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

70.3%

280-299 · Trade →

24h move

+45.9

pts · 7d +55.8

Volume

$2.4M

24h $595K · liquidity $384K

Closes

November 6, 2026

1 days left

Culture Politics Tweet Markets Recurring

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
280-299	70.3%	+45.9	+55.8	$156K	0.1¢
300-319	19.5%	-18.5	+2.0	$129K	1.0¢
260-279	7.4%	+0.5	-3.0	$200K	0.9¢
320-339	3.1%	-16.4	-12.9	$148K	0.2¢
340-359	0.7%	-7.8	-8.8	$127K	0.2¢
360-379	0.1%	-3.0	-4.5	$110K	0.1¢
380-399	0.1%	-1.4	-4.1	$107K	0.1¢
400-419	0.1%	-0.4	-2.7	$95K	0.1¢
420-439	0.1%	-0.2	-2.0	$98K	0.1¢
440-459	0.1%	-0.1	-1.4	$76K	0.1¢
460-479	0.1%	0.0	-1.3	$102K	0.1¢
480-499	0.1%	0.0	-0.9	$49K	0.1¢
500-519	0.1%	0.0	-0.7	$51K	0.1¢
520-539	0.1%	0.0	-0.5	$59K	0.1¢
540-559	0.1%	0.0	-0.3	$36K	0.1¢
560-579	0.1%	0.0	-0.2	$48K	0.1¢
580+	0.1%	0.0	-0.7	$64K	0.1¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

280-299300-319260-279320-339

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 30 12:00 PM ET to November 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying 280-299 at 70% risks 70¢ to win 30¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Elon Musk # tweets October 30 - November 6, 2026?"?: As of November 6, 2026, 280-299 is the favorite at 70.3%, followed by 300-319 at 19.5%.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on November 6, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $2.4M in total and $595K in the last 24 hours, with about $384K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.