Elon Musk # of tweets July 11-18?: result and scorecard
Resolved 180–194. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 51.0%; a week before, 11.5%. $7.1M traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
Elon MuskCultureTweet MarketsPoliticsTrump vs Elon
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| 180–194 | WON |
| 210–224 | LOST |
| 195–209 | LOST |
| 165–179 | LOST |
| 150–164 | LOST |
| 135–149 | LOST |
| 120–134 | LOST |
| 255+ | LOST |
| 240–254 | LOST |
| 225–239 | LOST |
| 105–119 | LOST |
| <90 | LOST |
| 90–104 | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between July 11, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and July 18, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Elon Musk # of tweets July 11-18?" resolve?
- It resolved 180–194 around July 18, 2025.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 51.0% one day before close, 11.5% one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $7.1M across 13 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.