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Live market data

Elon Musk meets with Putin by...?: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is March 31 at 15.5%, ahead of December 31 at 9.2%. $5K traded across 2 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:19 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

15.5%
March 31 · Trade →

24h move

+2.5
pts · 7d -40.0

Volume

$5K
24h $2K · liquidity $1K

Closes

April 1, 2027
146 days left

TechRussiaPoliticsElon MuskGeopolitics

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
March 3115.5% +2.5-40.0$3K7.0¢
December 319.2% +4.8-2.2$2K6.4¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:19 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%10-3011-0211-06
March 31December 31

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk meets with Vladimir Putin between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Musk and Putin are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying March 31 at 16% risks 16¢ to win 85¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Elon Musk meets with Putin by...?"?
As of November 6, 2026, March 31 is the favorite at 15.5%, followed by December 31 at 9.2%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on April 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$5K in total and $2K in the last 24 hours, with about $1K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.