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Home / Markets / Elon Musk # of tweets September 5-12?
Resolved market scorecard

Elon Musk # of tweets September 5-12? : result and scorecard

Resolved 220–239. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 51.5%; a week before, 8.0%. $6.3M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

220–239
resolved September 12, 2025

Price 1 day before

51.5%
Market was a coin flip

Price 7 days before

8.0%
30 days before: –

Volume

$6.3M
22 outcomes

Tweet MarketsCultureElon MuskPolitics

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
220–239WON$421K
200–219LOST$712K
<200LOST$603K
240–259LOST$382K
260–279LOST$298K
280–299LOST$281K
300–319LOST$260K
400–419LOST$248K
600+LOST$242K
420–439LOST$239K
580–599LOST$235K
380–399LOST$234K
320–339LOST$226K
360–379LOST$223K
560–579LOST$222K
460–479LOST$221K
480–499LOST$217K
340–359LOST$214K
440–459LOST$213K
500–519LOST$209K
540–559LOST$205K
520–539LOST$202K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%09-0609-0909-12
220–239200–219<200240–259
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 52% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between September 5, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and September 12, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Elon Musk # of tweets September 5-12? " resolve?
It resolved 220–239 around September 12, 2025.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 51.5% one day before close, 8.0% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$6.3M across 22 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.