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Home / Markets / Elon Musk # of tweets July 18-25?
Resolved market scorecard

Elon Musk # of tweets July 18-25?: result and scorecard

Resolved 195–209. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 30.5%; a week before, 15.5%. $6.7M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

195–209
resolved July 25, 2025

Price 1 day before

30.5%
Market leaned the wrong way

Price 7 days before

15.5%
30 days before: –

Volume

$6.7M
13 outcomes

Tweet MarketsPoliticsCultureElon Musk

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
195–209WON$566K
210–224LOST$749K
180–194LOST$670K
165–179LOST$610K
255+LOST$538K
225–239LOST$534K
240–254LOST$514K
135–149LOST$478K
150–164LOST$461K
<90LOST$459K
120–134LOST$406K
105–119LOST$358K
90–104LOST$317K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%07-1907-2207-25
195–209210–224180–194165–179
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 31% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between July 18, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and July 25, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Elon Musk # of tweets July 18-25?" resolve?
It resolved 195–209 around July 25, 2025.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 30.5% one day before close, 15.5% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$6.7M across 13 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.