What are the odds on Gavin Newsom right now?

The most traded live market is "Next leader out of power before 2027?", where None before 2027 is priced at 57.0% as of November 6, 2026. 16 live markets mention Gavin Newsom.

How do I bet on Gavin Newsom?

These are prediction market contracts, not sportsbook bets. Each pays $1 if the outcome happens. Access depends on your location; see the market page and our legality guides before trading.

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Live market data

Gavin Newsom: live prediction market odds

Every active Polymarket market mentioning Gavin Newsom, ranked by activity, plus how recent ones resolved.

Updated 2026-11-06 01:43 UTC · Source: Polymarket search · 18+

Live markets

mentioning Gavin Newsom

Total volume

$5.2M

across live markets

Most traded

57%

None before 2027 in "Next leader out of power before 2027?"

Live markets about Gavin Newsom

Market	Favorite	Price	24h	Volume
Next leader out of power before 2027? closes January 1, 2027	None before 2027	57.0%	+1.0	$2.4M
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027? closes January 1, 2027	Pete Buttigieg	39.6%	+27.9	$1.3M
Democratic VP Nominee 2028 closes November 8, 2028	Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez	28.5%	+16.5	$162K
Democratic nomination odds leader on November 30? closes November 30, 2026	Jon Ossoff	87.5%	+12.5	$21K
Who will announce Presidential run before 2028? closes January 1, 2028	Andy Beshear	90.8%	+1.0	$175K
2028 presidential odds leader on November 30? closes November 30, 2026	Other	53.0%	+1.5	$73K
Who will be arrested before 2027? closes January 1, 2027	John Brennan	12.5%	-2.0	$669K
Newsom flips Vance for 2028 president by March 31? closes April 1, 2027	Yes	29.0%	-11.5	$7K
Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...? closes January 1, 2027	June 30, 2027	68.5%	+14.0	$102K
South Carolina Presidential Democratic Primary Winner closes January 23, 2028	Candidate A	50.0%	0.0	$38K
Newsom's Democratic nomination odds hit __ by December 31? closes January 1, 2027	↓ 12%	40.5%	-26.0	$6K
Ossoff ahead of Newsom on November 30? closes November 30, 2026	Yes	96.9%	+1.0	$6K
Which of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President? closes January 1, 2028	Other	50.0%	0.0	$15K
#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026? closes April 1, 2027	Person 3	50.0%	0.0	$225K
Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	12.0%	0.0	$4K
Nevada Democratic Presidential Primary Winner 2028 closes February 2, 2028	Candidate A	50.0%	0.0	$3

Recently resolved

Market	Result	Volume
AOC flips Newsom for 2028 president by December 31? January 1, 2027	Yes	$4K
Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban) December 31, 2026	Starmer - UK PM	$67.4M
Next leader out of power before 2027? December 31, 2026	Schoof - Netherlands PM	$11.1M
Gavin Newsom out as California Governor in 2025? December 31, 2025	No	$58K
First leader out of power in 2025? December 31, 2025	Ishiba - Japan PM	$64.4M
Gavin Newsom arrested by December 31? December 31, 2025	No	$74K
Next leader out of power in 2025? December 31, 2025	None in 2025	$2.2M
Will Gavin Newsom launch a token in September? September 30, 2025	No	$156K
Gavin Newsom recalled before July? June 30, 2025	No	$26K
Gavin Newsom arrested by Friday? June 13, 2025	No	$1.0M
Gavin Newsom out as Governor before April? March 31, 2025	No	$720K
Presidential Election Winner 2024 November 5, 2024	Donald Trump	$3.69B

About this page

California governor and 2028 Democratic nominee markets. Prices come from Polymarket and read as probabilities. They are set by traders, move with news, and are not forecasts by BetG8. Each market page carries the full rules, a price chart and volume.

More in US politics

Donald Trump JD Vance Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Josh Shapiro Marco Rubio Pete Buttigieg Gretchen Whitmer Ron DeSantis

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds on Gavin Newsom right now?: The most traded live market is "Next leader out of power before 2027?", where None before 2027 is priced at 57.0% as of November 6, 2026. 16 live markets mention Gavin Newsom.
How do I bet on Gavin Newsom?: These are prediction market contracts, not sportsbook bets. Each pays $1 if the outcome happens. Access depends on your location; see the market page and our legality guides before trading.