What are the odds on JD Vance right now?

The most traded live market is "Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?", where Kazem Gharibabadi is priced at 39.5% as of November 6, 2026. 25 live markets mention JD Vance.

How do I bet on JD Vance?

These are prediction market contracts, not sportsbook bets. Each pays $1 if the outcome happens. Access depends on your location; see the market page and our legality guides before trading.

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Live market data

JD Vance: live prediction market odds

Every active Polymarket market mentioning JD Vance, ranked by activity, plus how recent ones resolved.

Updated 2026-11-06 01:43 UTC · Source: Polymarket search · 18+

Live markets

mentioning JD Vance

Total volume

$7.6M

across live markets

Most traded

40%

Kazem Gharibabadi in "Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 3"

Live markets about JD Vance

Market	Favorite	Price	24h	Volume
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31? closes January 1, 2027	Kazem Gharibabadi	39.5%	-8.0	$2.1M
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...? closes December 31, 2026	December 31, 2026	43.0%	+1.5	$1.4M
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027? closes January 1, 2027	Pete Buttigieg	39.6%	+27.9	$1.3M
Who will announce Presidential run before 2028? closes January 1, 2028	Andy Beshear	90.8%	+1.0	$175K
2028 presidential odds leader on November 30? closes November 30, 2026	Other	53.0%	+1.5	$73K
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet? closes January 1, 2027	Pete Hegseth	31.4%	-9.6	$186K
JD Vance out as VP by...? closes January 1, 2027	December 31	3.1%	-0.1	$274K
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...? closes December 31, 2026	No Meeting by December 31	57.0%	-0.5	$250K
Vance's Republican nomination odds hit __ by December 31? closes January 1, 2027	↓ 25%	42.0%	-13.0	$33K
Which of these Republicans will be the first to announce a run for President? closes January 1, 2028	Other	50.0%	0.0	$18K
Newsom flips Vance for 2028 president by March 31? closes April 1, 2027	Yes	29.0%	-11.5	$7K
Which of these people will be impeached first by the end of 2027? closes January 1, 2028	Pete Hegseth	36.5%	+1.5	$29K
#1 Searched Person on Google 2026? closes April 1, 2027	Person 2	50.0%	0.0	$362K
JD Vance announces a presidential run by...? closes July 1, 2027	June 30, 2027	59.5%	+13.0	$7K
Republican VP Nominee 2028 closes November 8, 2028	Marco Rubio	25.5%	-1.0	$64K
South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary Winner 2028 closes November 8, 2028	Candidate A	50.0%	0.0	$1K
Who will visit Ukraine by December 31? closes January 1, 2027	Mark Rutte	43.5%	-3.5	$794K
#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026? closes April 1, 2027	Person 3	50.0%	0.0	$225K
Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	2.8%	-1.3	$21K
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	4.6%	+0.9	$90K
Who will Trump publicly praise by October 31? closes October 31, 2026	Dario Amodei	25.5%	+2.1	$101K
#2 Searched Person on Google 2026? closes December 31, 2026	Person 2	50.0%	0.0	$27K
Who will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election? closes November 7, 2028	J.D. Vance	53.5%	0.0	$24K
Will Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election? closes November 8, 2028	Yes	33.5%	0.0	$2K
Iowa Republican Presidential Caucus Winner 2028 closes November 8, 2028	Candidate A	50.0%	0.0	$0

Recently resolved

Market	Result	Volume
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? June 23, 2027	September 30, 2026	$12.6M
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...? October 1, 2026	USA	$6.9M
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...? June 30, 2026	June 30	$427K
Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? June 30, 2026	J.D. Vance	$2.2M
Who will meet with Iran by June 30? June 30, 2026	J.D. Vance	$198K
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen? June 30, 2026	Switzerland	$16.5M
Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20? June 20, 2026	No	$31K
Who will meet with Iran by May 31? May 31, 2026	Closed	$189K
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...? April 30, 2026	April 30	$2.5M
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...? April 30, 2026	April 30	$137K
Who will meet with Iran by April 30? April 30, 2026	Closed	$2.0M
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...? April 30, 2026	June 30	$58.3M

About this page

The vice president in 2028 nominee and succession markets. Prices come from Polymarket and read as probabilities. They are set by traders, move with news, and are not forecasts by BetG8. Each market page carries the full rules, a price chart and volume.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the odds on JD Vance right now?: The most traded live market is "Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?", where Kazem Gharibabadi is priced at 39.5% as of November 6, 2026. 25 live markets mention JD Vance.
How do I bet on JD Vance?: These are prediction market contracts, not sportsbook bets. Each pays $1 if the outcome happens. Access depends on your location; see the market page and our legality guides before trading.