What are the odds on United Kingdom right now?

The most traded live market is "Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?", where December 31, 2027 is priced at 42.0% as of November 6, 2026. 39 live markets mention United Kingdom.

How do I bet on United Kingdom?

These are prediction market contracts, not sportsbook bets. Each pays $1 if the outcome happens. Access depends on your location; see the market page and our legality guides before trading.

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Live market data

United Kingdom: live prediction market odds

Every active Polymarket market mentioning United Kingdom, ranked by activity, plus how recent ones resolved.

Updated 2026-11-06 01:43 UTC · Source: Polymarket search · 18+

Live markets

mentioning United Kingdom

Total volume

$29.4M

across live markets

Most traded

42%

December 31, 2027 in "Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?"

Live markets about United Kingdom

Market	Favorite	Price	24h	Volume
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...? closes December 31, 2026	December 31, 2027	42.0%	-11.5	$3.5M
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? closes July 1, 2027	December 31, 2027	69.0%	-1.5	$10.5M
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by...? closes January 1, 2027	December 31	19.0%	-8.5	$339K
Next leader out of power before 2027? closes January 1, 2027	None before 2027	57.0%	+1.0	$2.4M
Where will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place? closes January 1, 2028	UAE	95.3%	-0.1	$226K
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by...? closes January 1, 2027	December 31, 2027	30.5%	-0.5	$3.0M
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...? closes January 1, 2027	December 31	97.4%	-0.1	$2.3M
Turner Prize 2026 Winner closes April 1, 2027	Artist A	50.0%	0.0	$68K
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	3.3%	-0.1	$3.8M
How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? closes January 1, 2027	6	83.0%	+5.5	$76K
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...? closes January 1, 2027	November 15	97.5%	+7.0	$3K
BBC Sports Personality of the Year Winner 2026 closes January 1, 2027	Harry Kane	74.5%	-0.5	$41K
Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31? closes January 1, 2027	Denver, CO	85.2%	-0.3	$100K
October Inflation UK - Annual closes November 18, 2026	3.7-3.9%	48.5%	-0.5	$2K
U.K. Annual Inflation 2026 closes January 21, 2027	3.5–3.9%	54.6%	+0.1	$154K
What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? closes November 12, 2026	Defence	74.0%	0.0	$4K
Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by...? closes December 31, 2026	March 31	21.0%	-5.5	$23K
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026 closes February 13, 2027	1-2%	87.5%	+0.8	$116K
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by...? closes October 1, 2026	June 30	36.5%	+2.0	$102K
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	2.9%	-0.7	$230K
UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)? closes November 13, 2026	0.6–0.7%	52.1%	+3.1	$55K
How many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? closes January 1, 2028	2	89.5%	0.0	$244K
European military action against Iran by...? closes December 31, 2026	December 31	6.0%	-1.0	$342K
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by...? closes December 31, 2026	December 31	6.2%	-1.6	$17K
UK social media ban in effect by…? closes July 1, 2027	June 30, 2027	65.0%	0.0	$7K
Jonathan Powell out as UK National Security Adviser by...? closes January 1, 2027	December 31	47.0%	+15.5	$3K
UK election called by...? closes July 1, 2027	June 30, 2027	26.5%	-1.5	$852K
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet? closes January 1, 2028	Other	50.0%	0.0	$139K
Andy Burnham out as UK PM by...? closes January 1, 2027	December 31	3.5%	+0.1	$61K
Luke Campbell arrested by December 31? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	3.1%	0.0	$4K
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by...? closes April 1, 2027	March 31, 2027	20.0%	0.0	$303K
Andrew Tate released from custody by...? closes January 1, 2027	December 31	6.5%	0.0	$321K
Will GBP/USD hit __ in 2026? closes December 31, 2026	↓1.30	50.5%	-1.5	$63K
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	1.6%	0.0	$30K
UK Recession in 2026? closes May 1, 2027	Yes	4.5%	0.0	$16K
Court finds BBC liable for defaming Trump? closes January 1, 2028	Yes	20.5%	-0.5	$4K
Ed Davey out as Liberal Democrats Leader by December 31? closes December 31, 2026	Yes	6.7%	+0.1	$3K
Next UK by-election called by…? closes January 1, 2027	December 31	25.0%	-2.0	$2K
Faber brings Rooney books back to UK by…? closes April 1, 2027	March 31, 2027	50.5%	+0.5	$2K

Recently resolved

Market	Result	Volume
Next UK by-election called by…? January 1, 2027	September 30	$22K
Next UK Foreign Secretary in 2026? December 31, 2026	Ed Miliband	$329K
Next UK Culture Secretary in 2026? December 31, 2026	No next Culture Secretary in 2	$174K
Next UK Home Secretary in 2026? December 31, 2026	No next Home Secretary in 2026	$168K
Next UK Defence Secretary in 2026? December 31, 2026	Other	$120K
Next UK Transport Secretary in 2026? December 31, 2026	No next Transport Secretary in	$37K
Next UK Prime Minister in 2026? December 31, 2026	Andy Burnham	$16.6M
September Inflation UK - Annual October 21, 2026	3.4-3.6%	$29K
Next UK Prime Minister appointed by…? September 30, 2026	July 31	$98K
UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)? August 12, 2026	0.4–0.5%	$36K
June Inflation UK - Annual July 22, 2026	2.5-2.7%	$17K
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...? June 30, 2026	May 31	$182K

About this page

Prime minister, election and policy markets. Prices come from Polymarket and read as probabilities. They are set by traders, move with news, and are not forecasts by BetG8. Each market page carries the full rules, a price chart and volume.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the odds on United Kingdom right now?: The most traded live market is "Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?", where December 31, 2027 is priced at 42.0% as of November 6, 2026. 39 live markets mention United Kingdom.
How do I bet on United Kingdom?: These are prediction market contracts, not sportsbook bets. Each pays $1 if the outcome happens. Access depends on your location; see the market page and our legality guides before trading.