What are the odds on China right now?

The most traded live market is "Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?", where Yes is priced at 1.8% as of November 6, 2026. 38 live markets mention China.

How do I bet on China?

These are prediction market contracts, not sportsbook bets. Each pays $1 if the outcome happens. Access depends on your location; see the market page and our legality guides before trading.

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Live market data

China: live prediction market odds

Every active Polymarket market mentioning China, ranked by activity, plus how recent ones resolved.

Updated 2026-11-06 01:43 UTC · Source: Polymarket search · 18+

Live markets

mentioning China

Total volume

$60.3M

across live markets

Most traded

Yes in "Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?"

Live markets about China

Market	Favorite	Price	24h	Volume
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	1.8%	+0.1	$45.8M
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? closes January 1, 2028	Yes	8.5%	-1.0	$3.6M
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by...? closes January 1, 2027	December 31	76.0%	+5.5	$162K
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	88.0%	-0.5	$69K
China x Japan military clash before 2027? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	2.8%	-0.3	$1.5M
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31? closes January 1, 2027	#3	15.5%	+0.5	$298K
Best Chinese AI Company end of November? closes December 1, 2026	Other	50.0%	0.0	$62K
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	12.5%	-2.0	$591K
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	2.7%	+0.2	$3.5M
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of January? closes February 1, 2027	Company A	50.0%	0.0	$10K
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	8.5%	+1.0	$237K
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	16.0%	-0.5	$122K
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of January? closes February 1, 2027	Company A	50.0%	0.0	$13K
Best Chinese AI Company end of January? closes February 1, 2027	Company A	50.0%	0.0	$5K
October Inflation China - Annual closes November 9, 2026	0.7% to 0.8%	54.0%	-2.0	$60K
Dem sweep & Chinese AI model #1 by end of 2027? closes January 1, 2028	Dem sweep; China not #1	76.3%	-10.9	$16K
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of November? closes December 1, 2026	Other	50.0%	0.0	$23K
Will CCTV broadcast another Real Madrid match in 2026? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	11.5%	-5.0	$14K
US imposes new sanctions on China by...? closes December 1, 2026	November 30	16.0%	+1.5	$54K
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? closes July 1, 2027	CXMT	18.5%	+0.5	$717K
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? closes July 1, 2027	Yes	5.5%	0.0	$527K
Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	15.5%	+5.0	$33K
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of November? closes December 1, 2026	Other	50.0%	0.0	$20K
Best Chinese AI Company end of December? closes January 1, 2027	Company A	50.0%	0.0	$16K
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of December? closes January 1, 2027	Company A	50.0%	0.0	$20K
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q4 2026? closes February 1, 2027	4.6-4.9%	52.0%	-1.0	$27K
Jimmy Lai released by...? closes January 1, 2027	December 31, 2026	3.6%	+0.5	$395K
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	2.3%	-0.1	$444K
China coup attempt by...? closes January 1, 2028	December 31, 2027	11.5%	0.0	$169K
People's Bank of China rate change by December 31? closes December 31, 2026	No Change	89.5%	+1.5	$17K
China Annual Inflation 2026 closes January 11, 2027	0.6 – 1.0%	60.0%	-0.5	$125K
China x India military clash by...? closes January 1, 2027	December 31, 2026	5.5%	-0.5	$343K
US x China Military clash before 2027? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	2.4%	-0.1	$223K
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	4.3%	+0.2	$70K
China Annual GDP Growth 2026 closes February 1, 2027	4.0–5.0%	96.2%	0.0	$945K
U.S. tariff rate on China on December 31, 2026? closes December 31, 2026	5–15%	89.5%	0.0	$14K
China ballistic missile launch by December 31? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	9.5%	+1.0	$18K
Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by...? closes January 1, 2027	December 31	3.8%	-0.3	$10K

Recently resolved

Market	Result	Volume
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? December 31, 2026	Yes	$2.3M
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? October 1, 2026	No	$2.4M
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? June 30, 2026	No	$12.0M
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? June 30, 2026	No	$2.1M
Will Trump visit China on...? May 31, 2026	May 13	$5.7M
When will Trump leave China? May 20, 2026	May 15	$1.5M
Will Trump visit China by...? April 30, 2026	May 15	$49.6M
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? March 31, 2026	No	$10.6M
U.S. tariff rate on China on March 31? March 31, 2026	5–15%	$1.2M
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? December 31, 2025	No	$12.4M
China x Taiwan military clash by...? December 31, 2025	Closed	$2.0M
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025? December 31, 2025	No	$1.8M

About this page

Trade, Taiwan and economy markets. Prices come from Polymarket and read as probabilities. They are set by traders, move with news, and are not forecasts by BetG8. Each market page carries the full rules, a price chart and volume.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the odds on China right now?: The most traded live market is "Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?", where Yes is priced at 1.8% as of November 6, 2026. 38 live markets mention China.
How do I bet on China?: These are prediction market contracts, not sportsbook bets. Each pays $1 if the outcome happens. Access depends on your location; see the market page and our legality guides before trading.