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Home / Markets / Next UK Defence Secretary in 2026?
Resolved market scorecard

Next UK Defence Secretary in 2026?: result and scorecard

Resolved Other. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at –; a week before, –. $120K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Other
resolved July 21, 2026

Price 1 day before

–
Unknown

Price 7 days before

–
30 days before: –

Volume

$120K
36 outcomes

UKLabourPoliticsAndy BurnhamUnited Kingdom

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
OtherWON$0
John HealeyLOST$56K
No next Defence Secretary in 2026LOST$19K
Al CarnsLOST$17K
Yvette CooperLOST$10K
Pat McFaddenLOST$4K
Luke PollardLOST$4K
Heidi AlexanderLOST$3K
Louise HaighLOST$3K
Douglas AlexanderLOST$3K
Person ALOST$0
Person BLOST$0
Person CLOST$0
Person DLOST$0
Person ELOST$0
Person FLOST$0
Person GLOST$0
Person HLOST$0
Person ILOST$0
Person JLOST$0
Person KLOST$0
Person LLOST$0
Person MLOST$0
Person NLOST$0
Person OLOST$0
Person PLOST$0
Person QLOST$0
Person RLOST$0
Person SLOST$0
Person TLOST$0
Person ULOST$0
Person VLOST$0
Person WLOST$0
Person XLOST$0
Person YLOST$0
Person ZLOST$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%07-0707-1407-21
John HealeyNo next Defence Secretary in 2026Al Carns
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at – the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the individual who is officially appointed as the next Defence Secretary of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Defence Secretary will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Defence Secretary is appointed, or Dan Jarvis is re-appointed as Defence Secretary, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Defence Secretary in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Next UK Defence Secretary in 2026?" resolve?
It resolved Other around December 31, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at – one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$120K across 36 outcomes.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.