UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?: result and scorecard
Resolved May 31. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 86.5%; a week before, –. $182K traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| May 31 | WON |
| June 30 | WON |
| February 28 | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any sitting Cabinet Minister of the United Kingdom as of February 4, 2026 ET, resigns from their position in the cabinet by February 28, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Only an actual resignation will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. If the Prime Minister accepts a letter of resignation from a cabinet minister, or a cabinet minister otherwise formally resigns, this market will resolve to "Yes" immediately, even if the cabinet minister in question agrees to stay for a period of time for any reason (e.g., until a replacement is ready, etc.). If a minister submits a letter of resignation and it is refused, or they otherwise withdraw that letter, it will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If a minister submits a letter of resignation and is subsequently fired from their position, it will still qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?" resolve?
- It resolved May 31 around June 30, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 86.5% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $182K across 3 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.