What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Defence at 74.0%, ahead of Scotland at 64.5%. $4K traded across 10 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Defence | 74.0% | 0.0 |
| Scotland | 64.5% | +2.5 |
| Mr Speaker 30+ times | 63.0% | +7.0 |
| Wales | 56.5% | 0.0 |
| Reform | 51.0% | +2.0 |
| Immigration | 43.5% | -3.0 |
| Million / Billion / Trillion 5+ times | 42.5% | +15.0 |
| Trump | 21.0% | +11.0 |
| NHS | 14.5% | -0.5 |
| -No Qualifying Event- | 4.9% | -1.3 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
Andy Burnham is scheduled to participate in the Prime Minister's Questions (PMQs) in the Commons Chamber in the Palace of Westminster on every Wednesday. (https://www.parliament.uk/visiting/visiting-and-tours/watch-committees-and-debates/prime-ministers-questions/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Andy Burnham says the listed term during the next Prime Minister's Question Time event he participates in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no such Prime Minister's Question Time event happens or Andy Burnham does not participate in a Prime Minister's Question Time event by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". If Andy Burnham ceases to be Prime Minister for any length of time by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about scheduled events featuring Andy Burnham titled "Prime Minister's Question Time" (https://www.parallelparliament.co.uk/mp/andy-burnham/dept/cabinet-office/calendar). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of named, scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be audio/video of the events. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Defence is the favorite at 74.0%, followed by Scotland at 64.5%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on November 12, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $4K in total and $446 in the last 24 hours, with about $1K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.