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Live market data

Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by...?: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is June 30 at 36.5%, ahead of December 31 at 2.0%. $102K traded across 2 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:05 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

36.5%
June 30 · Trade →

24h move

+2.0
pts · 7d -8.0

Volume

$102K
24h $350 · liquidity $31K

Closes

October 1, 2026
0 days left

TatePoliticsarrestedandrew tatetristan tate

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
June 3036.5% +2.0-8.0$8K1.0¢
December 312.0% 0.0-3.5$6K2.0¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:05 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%10-0610-2111-06
June 30December 31

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andrew Tate is extradited to the United Kingdom between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Extradited to the United Kingdom” means Tate is physically transferred to U.K. government custody pursuant to an extradition process or equivalent custody transfer process. If Tate otherwise enters U.K. territory and is subsequently arrested or taken into U.K. government custody by the market’s end date, this will also qualify. An announcement that extradition has been requested, approved, ordered, or agreed to will not qualify unless Tate is physically transferred to, arrested by, or otherwise taken into U.K. government custody by the market’s end date. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Andrew Tate, the governments of the United States and United Kingdom, and relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Andrew Tate is extradited to the United Kingdom between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Extradited to the United Kingdom" means Tate is physically transferred to U.K. government custody pursuant to an extradition process or equivalent custody transfer process. If Tate otherwise enters U.K. territory and is subsequently arrested or taken into U.K. government custody by the market's end date, this will also qualify. An announcement that extradition has been requested, approved, ordered, or agreed to will not qualify unless Tate is physically transferred to, arrested by, or otherwise taken into U.K. government custody by the market's end date. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Andrew Tate, the governments of the United States and United Kingdom, and relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying June 30 at 37% risks 37¢ to win 64¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by...?"?
As of November 6, 2026, June 30 is the favorite at 36.5%, followed by December 31 at 2.0%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on October 1, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$102K in total and $350 in the last 24 hours, with about $31K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.