Who is favored in "UK election called by...?"?

As of November 6, 2026, June 30, 2027 is the favorite at 26.5%, followed by December 31, 2026 at 4.5%.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on July 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$852K in total and $10 in the last 24 hours, with about $5K of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / UK election called by...?

Live market data

UK election called by...?: live odds and probabilities

Name: UK election called by...? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

The market favorite is June 30, 2027 at 26.5%, ahead of December 31, 2026 at 4.5%. $852K traded across 2 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:16 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

26.5%

June 30, 2027 · Trade →

24h move

-1.5

pts · 7d -3.0

Volume

$852K

24h $10 · liquidity $5K

Closes

July 1, 2027

237 days left

UK pedophile Starmer England UK Labour Leadership

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
June 30, 2027	26.5%	-1.5	-3.0	$11K	5.0¢
December 31, 2026	4.5%	0.0	-6.5	$50K	3.0¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:16 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

June 30, 2027December 31, 2026

Market rules and resolution

This is a market on predicting the date when the UK general election will be officially called.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying June 30, 2027 at 27% risks 27¢ to win 74¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "UK election called by...?"?: As of November 6, 2026, June 30, 2027 is the favorite at 26.5%, followed by December 31, 2026 at 4.5%.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on July 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $852K in total and $10 in the last 24 hours, with about $5K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.