What are the odds on Ukraine and Russia right now?

The most traded live market is "Putin out as President of Russia by...?", where June 30, 2027 is priced at 8.5% as of November 6, 2026. 37 live markets mention Ukraine and Russia.

How do I bet on Ukraine and Russia?

These are prediction market contracts, not sportsbook bets. Each pays $1 if the outcome happens. Access depends on your location; see the market page and our legality guides before trading.

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Live market data

Ukraine and Russia: live prediction market odds

Every active Polymarket market mentioning Ukraine and Russia, ranked by activity, plus how recent ones resolved.

Updated 2026-11-06 01:43 UTC · Source: Polymarket search · 18+

Live markets

mentioning Ukraine and Russia

Total volume

$89.6M

across live markets

Most traded

June 30, 2027 in "Putin out as President of Russia by...?"

Live markets about Ukraine and Russia

Market	Favorite	Price	24h	Volume
Putin out as President of Russia by...? closes July 1, 2027	June 30, 2027	8.5%	0.0	$31.9M
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...? closes December 31, 2026	December 31, 2027	42.0%	-11.5	$3.5M
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? closes July 1, 2027	December 31, 2027	69.0%	-1.5	$10.5M
NATO x Russia military clash by...? closes January 3, 2027	December 31	12.5%	0.0	$13.2M
Where will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place? closes January 1, 2028	UAE	95.3%	-0.1	$226K
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026? closes January 1, 2027	China	86.5%	-2.0	$2.3M
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by...? closes January 1, 2027	December 31, 2027	30.5%	-0.5	$3.0M
Will Russia invade a NATO country by...? closes January 1, 2027	December 31, 2026	2.1%	-0.1	$5.6M
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...? closes January 1, 2027	December 31	97.4%	-0.1	$2.3M
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	5.0%	+0.5	$72K
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by...? closes January 1, 2027	December 31	6.0%	+1.5	$621K
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? closes January 1, 2027	Yes	3.3%	-0.1	$3.8M
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...? closes January 1, 2027	November 15	97.5%	+7.0	$3K
Ukraine election called by...? closes January 1, 2028	December 31, 2027	59.5%	0.0	$1.9M
Trump meets with Putin by...? closes January 1, 2027	December 31	88.0%	-1.0	$479K
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...? closes January 1, 2027	December 31, 2027	29.0%	0.0	$899K
US imports Russian diesel before Russia x Ukraine peace talks? closes July 1, 2027	Yes	14.0%	-1.5	$7K
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...? closes January 1, 2028	June 30, 2027	30.0%	+6.0	$276K
Will Ukraine target Moscow on...? closes December 1, 2026	November 6	85.5%	+12.0	$1K
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo closes January 1, 2027	Yes	3.4%	0.0	$664K
Ukraine coup attempt by...? closes January 1, 2028	December 31, 2027	14.5%	-9.5	$176K
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? closes January 1, 2028	December 31, 2027	27.5%	-6.0	$54K
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027? closes July 1, 2027	Yes	18.5%	-2.0	$28K
Who will visit Ukraine by December 31? closes January 1, 2027	Mark Rutte	43.5%	-3.5	$794K
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by...? closes January 1, 2028	December 31, 2027	27.0%	-1.0	$182K
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces by...? closes January 1, 2028	December 31, 2027	25.0%	-2.5	$131K
Ukraine peace referendum passed by...? closes January 1, 2027	December 31, 2027	32.5%	+6.0	$77K
Ukraine election held by...? closes February 13, 2027	December 31, 2026	2.5%	+0.1	$2.5M
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine by...? closes January 1, 2028	December 31, 2027	26.5%	+2.0	$196K
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...? closes January 1, 2028	December 31, 2027	34.0%	-1.0	$539K
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas by...? closes January 1, 2028	December 31, 2027	16.5%	-2.0	$159K
Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027? closes January 1, 2028	Yes	7.5%	-1.0	$12K
NATO downs another Russian drone before Russia x Ukraine peace talks? closes July 1, 2027	Yes	12.0%	-6.0	$5K
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...? closes January 1, 2027	December 31, 2027	15.0%	+0.5	$2.7M
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...? closes January 1, 2027	December 31, 2026	4.0%	+0.1	$488K
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...? closes January 1, 2027	December 31	4.5%	+0.1	$463K
Ukraine lowers conscription age by...? closes April 1, 2027	March 31	15.5%	-0.5	$6K

Recently resolved

Market	Result	Volume
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? December 31, 2026	Yes	$14.5M
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? June 30, 2026	Yes	$60.7M
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? May 31, 2026	Yes	$141.3M
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? April 30, 2026	No	$9.5M
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? January 31, 2026	No	$27.0M
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? December 31, 2025	No	$73.8M
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? June 30, 2025	No	$17.1M
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? April 20, 2025	No	$56.5M
Ukraine aid package in February? February 29, 2024	No	$147K
Border + Ukraine aid deal by Feb 9? February 9, 2024	No	$75K
Will Ukraine receive F-16s by end of January? January 31, 2024	No	$22K
US Congress approve more Ukraine aid in 2023? December 31, 2023	No	$107K

About this page

Ceasefire, territory and peace-deal markets. Prices come from Polymarket and read as probabilities. They are set by traders, move with news, and are not forecasts by BetG8. Each market page carries the full rules, a price chart and volume.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the odds on Ukraine and Russia right now?: The most traded live market is "Putin out as President of Russia by...?", where June 30, 2027 is priced at 8.5% as of November 6, 2026. 37 live markets mention Ukraine and Russia.
How do I bet on Ukraine and Russia?: These are prediction market contracts, not sportsbook bets. Each pays $1 if the outcome happens. Access depends on your location; see the market page and our legality guides before trading.