June Inflation UK - Annual: result and scorecard
Resolved 2.5-2.7%. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 74.0%; a week before, 26.5%. $17K traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
UKCPIInflationMacro Indicators
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| 2.5-2.7% | WON |
| 2.2-2.4% | LOST |
| ≤2.1% | LOST |
| 2.8-3% | LOST |
| 3.1-3.3% | LOST |
| 3.4%+ | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
This is a market about inflation in the United Kingdom over the 12-month period ending June 2026 as reported by the UK Office for National Statistics. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the UK Consumer Prices Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Office for National Statistics (ONS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the ONS “Consumer Prices Index, UK” report released for June 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices#publications), currently scheduled to be released on July 22, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: this market will resolve only based on the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) figure. The “Consumer Prices Index including owner occupiers’ housing costs” (CPIH) will not qualify. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI UK news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the ONS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "June Inflation UK - Annual" resolve?
- It resolved 2.5-2.7% around July 22, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 74.0% one day before close, 26.5% one week before and 22.0% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $17K across 6 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.