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Israel: live prediction market odds

Every active Polymarket market mentioning Israel, ranked by activity, plus how recent ones resolved.

Updated 2026-11-06 01:43 UTC · Source: Polymarket search · 18+

Live markets

39
mentioning Israel

Total volume

$170.9M
across live markets

Most traded

64%
Gadi Eizenkot in "Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?"

Live markets about Israel

MarketFavoritePrice24hVolume
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
closes October 28, 2026
Gadi Eizenkot63.8% +7.2$87.9M
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
closes December 31, 2026
November 698.4% +1.4$46.5M
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
closes January 1, 2027
Yes3.4% -1.7$552K
Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
closes January 1, 2027
Lebanon5.5% 0.0$987K
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?
closes December 1, 2026
November 885.5% 0.0$4K
Bank of Israel Decision in February?
closes February 22, 2027
No Change49.0% -24.0$9K
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?
closes January 1, 2027
December 31, 202734.5% -1.5$8.6M
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?
closes January 1, 2027
December 319.0% 0.0$779K
Israel x Iran ceasefire ends before Netanyahu out?
closes July 1, 2027
Yes58.0% -6.0$6K
Houthi military action against Israel by...?
closes December 31, 2026
December 3119.0% +0.5$341K
Bank of Israel Decision in January?
closes January 4, 2027
50+ bps increase31.0% -4.0$1K
Israel Election: Yashar and Likud in coalition?
closes January 1, 2028
Yes22.0% 0.0$4K
Israel military action against Beirut by...?
closes December 1, 2026
November 3024.0% +11.0$634K
Will Hezbollah target Israel by...?
closes December 1, 2026
November 3044.5% 0.0$307
Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?
closes January 1, 2027
December 31, 20263.5% -0.4$2.2M
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
closes January 1, 2027
478.5% +2.5$7.8M
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?
closes January 1, 2027
December 31, 20262.4% -0.4$3.5M
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
closes January 1, 2027
Yes2.5% -1.1$465K
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
closes December 1, 2026
November 3024.5% +3.0$26K
Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?
closes January 1, 2027
December 318.5% 0.0$1.8M
Israel military action against Syria by...?
closes January 1, 2027
December 3128.0% -2.0$178K
US announces military base in Israel in 2026?
closes January 1, 2027
Yes17.5% -24.0$2K
Israel military action against Iraq by...?
closes December 1, 2026
November 3020.5% -5.0$10K
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
closes January 1, 2027
Yes3.2% -0.4$93K
Netanyahu out before the next Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting?
closes July 1, 2027
Yes51.0% +24.0$2K
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?
closes November 1, 2026
October 640.5% -23.5$193K
Bank of Israel Decision in November?
closes November 23, 2026
No Change85.5% -0.5$11K
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?
closes December 1, 2026
November 3033.5% -6.5$801
Israel Election: Likud or Yashar in Government?
closes March 1, 2027
Yashar57.0% +0.5$1K
Israel Election: Arab party and Likud in coalition?
closes January 1, 2028
Yes4.0% 0.0$2K
Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?
closes January 1, 2028
Yes14.5% 0.0$100K
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?
closes January 1, 2027
December 316.0% -0.5$4.1M
Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by...?
closes December 1, 2026
November 3030.0% +9.0$18K
Israel military action against Yemen by...?
closes December 31, 2026
December 3114.0% +2.0$334K
Israel tourism plunges below 40K by January?
closes February 1, 2027
Yes17.5% 0.0$5K
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
closes January 1, 2027
Yes1.7% 0.0$253K
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
closes January 1, 2027
Yes2.9% -0.1$196K
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?
closes January 1, 2027
December 316.0% 0.0$2.9M
Will Israel annex any territory by...?
closes January 1, 2027
June 30, 202713.5% +0.5$540K
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Recently resolved

MarketResultVolume
Bank of Israel Decision in February?
February 23, 2026
No Change$575K
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?
July 15, 2025
No$5.3M

About this page

Gaza, Lebanon, elections and Netanyahu markets. Prices come from Polymarket and read as probabilities. They are set by traders, move with news, and are not forecasts by BetG8. Each market page carries the full rules, a price chart and volume.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the odds on Israel right now?
The most traded live market is "Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?", where Gadi Eizenkot is priced at 63.8% as of November 6, 2026. 39 live markets mention Israel.
How do I bet on Israel?
These are prediction market contracts, not sportsbook bets. Each pays $1 if the outcome happens. Access depends on your location; see the market page and our legality guides before trading.